Where does Alabama stand with in-state recruits after losing 5-star to Auburn?

Where does Alabama stand with in-state recruits after losing 5-star to Auburn?

Social media reaction to one of Auburn’s biggest recruiting weeks in recent memory has led to a common question: Is the status quo changing in a state’s Iron Bowl recruiting battle?

Alabama football’s 2024 recruiting class is still in a good spot with five top-100 recruits and presumably more on the way. Yet, there’s no argument that Saturday’s news of Perry Thompson making his long-awaited flip to the Tigers was a splash.

The efforts of Hugh Freeze and a reinvigorated effort on the Plains leave the Crimson Tide in a position it hasn’t faced recently. Highly rated in-state players are choosing Auburn over Tuscaloosa, at least in the class of 2024.

According to 247Sports Composite rankings, nine of the top-25 rated rising seniors are verbally committed to Hugh Freeze and co. That’s compared to four for Saban and his assistants (seven are committed out-of-state).

In 2023, Alabama pulled eight to Auburn’s four. UA had seven to Auburn’s three in 2022. In the last decade, Alabama has pulled in more top-25 in-state players eight times compared to one Auburn win (2014) and a tie (2015).

It should be noted that class rankings aren’t finalized in July and Alabama doesn’t gauge its success on the trail via other people’s evaluations. Still, the pure number of decisions in Freeze’s favor is a building block for the new coach, especially with arguably more talented prospects in the class of 2025, including 5-star Auburn legacy and Tide commit Ryan Williams of Saraland.

Here are four of Alabama’s remaining undecided prospects and where they’re trending as the season nears.

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4-star edge

No. 36 player nationally, No. 5 in AL

A stellar athlete at 6-foot-4, 230 pounds, it doesn’t appear like Ross is a contender for either in-state powerhouse. Ross has taken official visits to Florida, Tennessee, Georgia and Texas. The Tide already has two in-state defensive linemen committed in Central-Phenix City three-star Isaia Faga and Parker four-star Jeremiah Beaman.

Bradley Shaw, Hoover

4-star linebacker

No. 157 nationally, No. 9 in AL

Shaw may be trending toward being the 10th in-state player to commit to Auburn. The Hoover product has been on campus thrice since the season ended and was in town for Big Cat weekend, Auburn’s biggest event that saw Thompson announce his flip. Alabama offered in January. On3′s prediction machine currently gives the Tide the best odds, however, over Notre Dame, Auburn and Mississippi State.

Hoover’s Bradley Shaw tackles Thompson’s Michael Dujon during an AHSAA Class 7A semifinal playoff game at Hoover Met Stadium in Hoover, Ala., Friday, Nov. 18, 2022. (Dennis Victory | [email protected])

Mario Craver, Clay-Chalkville

4-star athlete

No. 312 nationally, No. 15 in AL

The electric wideout will pair with Alabama commit Jaylen Mbawke, who’s playing quarterback as a senior, on Friday nights this fall. Will it continue in college? Evaluators are split with Florida 247Sports reporter Blake Alderman predicting in March that Craver would end up in Gainesville with the Gators. Yet, On3 gives Freeze the best odds with Alabama falling short.

JaCorey Whitted, McAdory

4-star tight end

No. 380 nationally, No. 20 in AL

A big-bodied pass-catcher at 6-foot-7, 220 pounds, Whitted is going to be an intriguing prospect wherever he goes. He’s made a handful of trips to Southeastern Conference programs this summer and holds offers from the Tigers and Tide. While both Auburn and Alabama have a commitment at his position — Martavious Collins for the Tigers and Caleb Odom for the Tide — Whitted’s potential would make him a welcome addition to both classes.

Nick Alvarez is a reporter for Alabama Media Group. Follow him on Twitter @nick_a_alvarez or email him at [email protected].