What’s Auburn’s NCAA Tournament outlook entering final week of regular season?
The final week of the regular season is here, and March Madness is rapidly approaching.
For Auburn, it’s a more precarious time of the year than Bruce Pearl’s team would have preferred. Auburn is just 3-7 over its last 10 games — a stretch that includes five consecutive losses on the road — and is on uneven footing as the regular season winds down.
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Pearl’s team is coming off a humbling loss on the road at Kentucky, a game in which the Wildcats dominated in every facet after a competitive 15-minute opening stretch, and two more tough matchups await the Tigers to close out the regular-season slate. Auburn (19-10, 9-7 SEC) will travel to No. 2 Alabama on Wednesday before closing out the year at home against No. 12 Tennessee.
Both of those games are, of course, Quad 1 opportunities for Auburn, which will have a chance to strength its NCAA Tournament resume before next week’s SEC Tournament. While Auburn is still projected to be in the field of 68, getting at least a split during the final week will have the Tigers feeling a lot better come Selection Sunday.
For the rest of the season, AL.com will take a weekly snapshot of Auburn’s NCAA Tournament resume, with a look at the team’s record by quadrant, as well as the latest projections for the Tigers in the field of 68. Here’s where things stand with about two weeks until the start of the NCAA Tournament:
Auburn’s season at a glance:
Overall record: 19-10
SEC record: 9-7 (tied for fifth in the league)
AP poll rank: unranked
KenPom: 29th (78th in offensive efficiency, 17th in defensive efficiency)
NET ranking: 36th
Home record: 13-2
Road record: 4-7
Neutral-site record: 2-1
Quadrant 1 record: 2-8
Quadrant 2 record: 6-1
Quadrant 3 record: 8-1
Quadrant 4 record: 3-0
Best resume win: Jan. 7 vs. Arkansas, 72-59, at Neville Arena (Quadrant 1 win)
Worst resume loss: Jan. 3 at Georgia, 76-64 (Quadrant 3 loss)
Strength of record: 38th
NET Strength of schedule: 36th
The week ahead: at No. 2 Alabama on Wednesday at 6 p.m. (Quadrant 1 opportunity), vs. No. 12 Tennessee on Saturday at 1 p.m. (Quadrant 1 opportunity).
Latest NCAA Tournament projections (as of Feb. 28)
— Bracket Matrix, which compiles projections from 97 expert bracketologists across the country, currently has Auburn slated as a 10-seed in the field. The Tigers appear on all 97 projected brackets
— ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has Auburn firmly on the bubble as of Monday. Lunardi projects Auburn as one of the last four teams to avoid the First Four opening round in Dayton, Ohio.
— Jerry Palm at CBS Sports has Auburn projected as a 10-seed in his most recent bracket update. Palm has Auburn placed in the South Region, with an opening-round draw against seventh-seeded Maryland in Des Moines, Iowa.
— Shelby Mast over at Bracket WAG has Auburn as a nine-seed in the Midwest Region. That would set the Tigers up for a first-round matchup against eighth-seeded Michigan State.
— Bart Torvik’s T-Rank projection has Auburn as a 10-seed, with the Tigers currently holding an 87.6 percent chance to make the field and a 79.1 percent chance of earning an at-large bid.
Tom Green is an Auburn beat reporter for Alabama Media Group. Follow him on Twitter @Tomas_Verde.