What does Gulf storm mean for Alabama this weekend?

What does Gulf storm mean for Alabama this weekend?

It’s not hurricane season anymore, but forecasters will be keeping a close eye on the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.

The National Weather Service expects an area of low pressure to develop in the Gulf and track northeast across Florida this weekend, spreading a wide array of weather hazards across parts of the Southeast — and eventually up the U.S. East Coast.

Alabama is not in the direct path of the system but still will see some weather from it. Alabama is expected to see the best rain chances from this system starting on Saturday and into Sunday.

Adding to forecasters’ headaches is that the track of the weather system is still on the murky side, with computer models offering up differing possible paths.

A more northern path could mean more rain for parts of the Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. A more southern track will mean less rain. However, coastal areas are still expected to have to deal with rip currents and rough seas.

No severe weather is expected in Alabama, at least. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center is keeping the best chances for severe weather over the Florida Peninsula on Saturday:

There will be a Level 1 out of 5 risk for severe weather across the Florida Peninsula on Saturday.Storm Prediction Center

However, expect conditions to be less than ideal along the Alabama coast and in the Gulf this weekend.

Southeast Alabama could get 2 to 3 inches of rain, and potentially more if the system tracks farther north.

Here’s the seven-day precipitation outlook, which shows southeast Alabama potentially seeing the most rain:

7 day rainfall outlook

Here is the precipitation outlook for the next seven days.WPC

As for the Alabama coast, the National Weather Service in Mobile said there will be a high risk of rip currents from today through Sunday along Alabama and northwest Florida beaches:

Rip current forecast

There will be a high risk of rip currents through Sunday for Alabama coastal areas.NWS

There is also a high surf advisory in effect from noon today until 6 a.m. Sunday. The weather service said waves of 7 to 9 feet will be possible along the coast through the weekend.

The weather service said gale conditions will begin over the Gulf starting this afternoon and last into Sunday.

Gale warning

There will be a gale warning in effect through the weekend.NWS

It will also be breezy, according to forecasters, especially along the coast, where wind gusts could be as high as 30 to 35 mph at times.

Most of the weather from the Gulf system will pull away from Alabama on Monday, and dry conditions are expected for the first part of next week.