What are the odds of Trump being impeached? What the betting markets say today
You can find a betting line or market for just about anything in 2025, and there are plenty of different ones listed for the second term of President Donald Trump.
There’s one for whether or not he will serve a third term, and right now the betting market, Kalshi, gives him a 10% chance of doing so despite the fact that it is currently prohibited by the Constitution.
On the flip side of that, the market is also offering odds on whether Trump will be impeached and removed from office.
On the day of his inauguration, the site gave Trump a 12% chance of that happening. After a couple weeks of Trump shaking things up, it has upped the odds to a 17% chance of happening.
The site updates the odds daily so for those interested in keeping track, and also watching a lot of other Trump lines, you can check that out here.
It has been a chaotic couple of weeks in government since Trump was sworn-in, so it shouldn’t be a shock to see the market react, slightly, to the volatility.
How the president’s moves pan out will likely go a long way toward determining whether the odds rise and the prop gets closer to being a reality.