Week 7 NFL player props: Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs props for Sunday
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Week 7 of the NFL season is upon us, and former Alabama players are some of the more popular choices for player prop bets this weekend. Here are some of our betting picks for those in action.
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Week 7 NFL props: Derrick Henry receiving yards, Josh Jacobs rushing yards picks
Derrick Henry over 13.5 receiving yards (-115 or better)
While Henry has a good chance of clearing his posted rushing yards total of 89.5 on Sunday against the Indianapolis Colts, we like the over in his receiving yards prop even better.
In his most recent three games prior to the Tennessee Titans’ Week 6 bye, Henry averaged 4.3 targets, 3.3 receptions and 40.3 receiving yards per contest, finishing with at least 30 yards in each outing.
One of those games was a three-catch, 33-yard effort on five targets vs. the Colts in Week 4.
In all, Indy has surrendered the fourth-most receiving yards (297/49.5 per game) to opposing running backs and Henry figures to factor in the passing game once again Sunday with Tennessee’s top wide receiver, rookie Treylon Burks, still on injured reserve with a toe injury.
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Josh Jacobs over 81.5 rushing yards (-115 or better)
Jacobs went into the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 6 bye on a serious roll, rushing for 144 and 154 yards and three total touchdowns in his two most recent games.
Now in Week 7, he draws one of the league’s worst run defenses in the Houston Texans who check in at No. 31 in Pro Football Focus’ rushing defense grades and are giving up an NFL-worst 133.4 rushing yards to opposing running backs per game.
The Silver and Black is a touchdown favorite at home Sunday so count on the rested Jacobs getting a heavy workload and rumbling past his rushing total with yards to spare.
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Brian Robinson Jr. over 54.5 rushing yards (+106 or better)
The Washington Commanders’ rookie running back has been one of the feel-good stories of the season so far, returning from a preseason gunshot wound to play in Week 5.
In Week 6, Robinson took over as the team’s lead back, handling 17 of the 22 RB carries and turning them into 60 yards and Washington’s only TD in a 12-7 win over the Chicago Bears.
Now comes a home game against a Green Bay Packers defense which is ranked dead last in Football Outsiders’ rushing defense DVOA metrics and is allowing the league’s fourth-most running back rushing yards per game (119.8) so far.
And with the Commanders starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, a more ground-centric game plan than usual might be in the offing. So certainly grab the plus odds on Robinson eclipsing his total Sunday.
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Jaylen Waddle under 58.5 receiving yards (-115 or better)
Waddle and the Miami Dolphins’ pass-catchers get starting QB Tua Tagovailoa back following a two-game absence.
And it’s also an A-plus matchup Sunday night facing a banged-up Pittsburgh Steelers secondary that is giving up the most yards (210.5 per game) to opposing wide receivers.
But Waddle has failed to clear 39 yards in two of his three previous games while dealing with a groin injury. And now he’s dealing with what appears to be an even more serious shoulder issue suffered last Sunday.
So even if he does play, Waddle likely will be limited — not to mention the chance for aggravating the injury.
All told, we’re just not feeling a big game from Waddle on Sunday night despite the good matchup.
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