Tropical Storm Beryl update: Texas still in bullseye

Beryl was a “shadow of itself in the Caribbean” on Saturday morning, tropical storm with 60 mph winds that was tracking northwestward across the Gulf of Mexico.

But that could change: The National Hurricane Center expects Beryl to strengthen to a hurricane again on Sunday and make its third and final landfall on the Texas coast by Monday.

Hurricane watches stretched along the Texas coastline on Saturday morning, and the hurricane center said those would likely be upgraded to hurricane warnings later this afternoon. Tropical storm warnings were also issued for the coast.

Beryl’s forecast track shifted northward again overnight but stayed steady with the latest update, and there are signs that models are coming into better agreement on where Beryl will ultimately end up.

Even so, hurricane center forecasters cautioned that “It is important to note that the average NHC track error at 48 hours is about 70 miles and the average intensity error is close to one category. Users are reminded to consider these uncertainties when using the forecast information.”

As of 10 a.m. CDT Saturday, Tropical Storm Beryl was located about 460 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas, and was on a path to the west-northwest at 12 mph.

Beryl had sustained winds of 60 mph. Hurricane-force winds begin at 74 mph.

The hurricane center said Beryl’s strength should not change much today, but it could begin to strengthen starting tonight into Sunday as it approaches the Texas coast.

Here are the watches and warnings as of Saturday morning:

* A hurricane watch is in effect for the Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to San Luis Pass.

* A storm surge watch is in effect for the Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to High Island.

* A tropical storm warning is now in effect for the Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River and along the northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

Tropical storm conditions will be possible in the hurricane watch area starting Sunday night, and hurricane conditions will follow by early Monday.

Beryl could bring 3 to 5 feet of storm surge to areas in the storm surge watch area as it nears the coast and moves inland.

Beryl could also bring the threat for deadly flash flooding to Texas. The hurricane center said 5 to 10 inches of rain will isolated amounts of 15 inches will be possible along the Texas coast and eastern Texas.