Tropical Gulf wave to bring south Alabama rain, rip currents and a break from the heat

A trough of low pressure over the Gulf isn’t expected to become a tropical depression, but it will bring higher rain chances for part of Alabama on Thursday.

And Friday too.

The National Hurricane Center on Thursday said the system had only a 10 percent probability of becoming a tropical depression in the next seven days.

It is expected to track westward across the northern Gulf and move inland over the weekend to the west of Alabama.

The National Weather Service in Mobile was keeping a close eye on the system Thursday and said it will cause a moderate risk for rip currents today along the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

That risk is expected to increase to high on Friday:

There will be a moderate risk for rip currents Thursday, and the risk increases to high on Friday.NWS

The system will bring high rain chances to south Alabama, with lower chances farther north.

Here is the probability of precipitation for Alabama through 7 p.m. Thursday:

Thursday rain chances
This is the probability of rain until 7 p.m. Thursday. South Alabama has high chances, while they are much lower for north Alabama.NWS

Those higher rain chances will continue into Friday as well:

Friday rain chances
Higher rain chances will last into Friday for south Alabama.NWS

The weather service expects rain to spread northward from the Gulf with a southerly wind, and “numerous to widespread” showers and storms will be possible today and Friday in south Alabama.

The Mobile area could get 2 to even 3 inches of rain from the system through Saturday, according to weather service forecasts:

Rainfall outlook
Most of the rain expected to fall over the next few days will be in southwest Alabama. Above is the rainfall outlook through 7 p.m. Saturday.NWS

The rain is expected to keep the heat in check today, and there are no heat advisories in place for the entire state.

However, forecasters expect once the tropical system moves out that the heat will move back in, and next week looks very hot with more heat advisories likely.

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