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This one’s a mouthwatering proposition, as the red-hot Bengals look for a fifth-straight win against the Texans, whose rookie quarterback CJ Stroud blew the Buccaneers away last week with a 470-yard, five-touchdown performance.

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NFL Week 10 Texans vs. Bengals odds preview

The Bengals had an awfully slow start to 2023, going 1-3 from their first four games. Since then, everything seems to have clicked.

Joe Burrow has dialed in and they’ve stormed to four consecutive wins to take them to 5-3. They’re bang in the AFC North mix now, still bottom of the division but sporting the same record as the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers behind the leading Baltimore Ravens.

Burrow is back to full fitness and he’s laser-focused. In the Week 9 win over the Buffalo Bills, he threw for 348 yards and two touchdowns. He and the Cincinnati offense look to be improving every game. Are the Bengals a legitimate contender to reach the Super Bowl? There’s no good reason right now to say definitively no.

The Texans are intriguing visitors on Sunday lunchtime. They’re supposed to be in a rebuild year under first-year head coach DeMeco Ryans and while at 4-4, they are one of the more inconsistent teams in the league, they’re second in the AFC South.

Houston was involved in a barnstormer last week, besting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 39-37 in a wild finale.

Stroud continues to fire on all cylinders, hitting a rookie-record 470 yards for 5 TDs. He’s the best first-year QB bar none this year and has vaulted the Texans’ passing game to fourth in the NFL at 264.1 yards per game.

All in all, this AFC showdown is looking like one of the tastier matchups of the 10th Sunday of NFL action in 2023.

Kickoff at Cincy’s Paycor Stadium is at noon CT live on CBS.

NFL Week 10 Texans vs. Bengals best bet: Over 48 total points (-110)

Unsurprisingly given each team’s recent exploits, this game has one of the highest over/under points totals of the Week 10 slate.

Still, though, we’re backing it to go over.

Last week, the Texans racked up 39 against the Bucs, while the Bengals have scored 24-plus points in three of their last four games, including 31 and 24 against the defensively sound 49ers and Bills, respectively. A lot of this game may rest on how well the respective defenses stop their opponents. But, with two former Ohio State Buckeyes Stroud and Burrow both coming off their season-best in passing yard marks, the points potential is sky-high.

NFL Week 10 Texans vs. Bengals best bet: Texans +7 (-120 or better)

While we’re sure there will be points aplenty, calling the game itself actually feels pretty tough.

Sure, the streaking Bengals are favorites for a reason as they emerge as a true contender for a deep postseason run. But don’t count out the Texans riding an offensive wave into the week. Since Week 3, Houston is 4-2 and has covered the spread four times. In the two games the Texans didn’t cover during that run, they lost by one point and two points.

This will easily be their toughest test since the Week 1 opener and Joe Burrow’s experience and link-up with Ja’Marr Chase and Co. may well win out, but it wouldn’t be too surprising to see the visitors keep it tight.

NFL Week 10 Texans vs. Bengals player prop: Burrow over 281.5 passing yards (-119 or better) and Stroud over 251.5 passing yards (-117 or better)

This one really is a tale of two quarterbacks, so allow us to go off-script a little here and recommend two props in one. Stroud, already playing so well, took it up to yet another level last week. On the whole, Houston’s passing game is ranked fourth in the league with 264 yards per game.

Meanwhile, after his early-season injury problems, Burrow now has over 1,800 passing yards this year, with 12 touchdowns. When he’s rolling at full tilt, there are few if any defenses good enough to stop him. Over the last four games, Burrow has averaged 283.5 passing yards per game as his fitness and full range of movement has returned – an improvement of over 100 yards per game.

Throw in the fact that Cincinnati and Houston rank 22nd and 24th in the league against the pass, with 234 and 238 yards allowed per game, respectively, and this could be one of the season’s best aerial spectacles. Both of these teams have allowed over their average in the last three games, with Cincinnati giving up 297.7 passing yards and Houston allowing 257.3.

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