Super Bowl 58 final odds for 49ers vs. Chiefs: Our best bets for moneyline, spreads, totals
Catena Media provides exclusive sports betting content to AL.com, including picks, analysis, tools and sportsbook offers to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.
This is the moment every football player dreams, the chance to play in the Super Bowl. San Francisco and Kansas City lock up Sunday in Las Vegas in Super Bowl 58 ready to lay it on the line for the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
The Niners have been locked in as 2-point favorites at most prominent American sportsbooks leading up to the game, and by signing up with one of our Super Bowl Promo Codes, new players can pull in up to $4,108 in welcome bonuses as they launch their sports betting journey.
Read on for our best bets on Super Bowl 58 for the moneyline, point spread and total and perform like a champion on Sunday.
**If you are in a state without legal sports betting but still want to win money on the Super Bowl, check out the DFS options that may be legal in your area, at the very bottom of this article**
Super Bowl 58 odds: Point spread best bet Chiefs +2 (-110 or better)
You wouldn’t be the first person to wonder what Las Vegas might know about the spread, as the Chiefs come in with more Super Bowl experience (lately), the better quarterback (Patrick Mahomes) and statistically, the better defense.
That would seem to point to the Chiefs as the favorite, but the sportsbooks have been set on San Francisco for two weeks with the point spread ranging anywhere from 2.5 to 1.5 points.
By setting a total this low, it’s basically like a pick’em game. Not many NFL games are decided by two points, and in fact, the average score in a Super Bowl is 30-16. That’s right, a margin of 14 points — there were a lot of blowouts in the 80s.
No one doubts that San Francisco is good, but the AFC is better top to bottom. The Chiefs had to get through Miami, Buffalo (on the road) and Baltimore (ditto) to get here. Look at this way, if it’s a tie game, late in the fourth quarter, who do you trust more? Mahomes or Brock Purdy? It has to be Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Super Bowl 2024 moneyline odds, best bet Chiefs (+110 or better)
This is one of the lowest spreads in Super Bowl history, and each time the spread has been three points or loss, the favorite is 9-9.
Of course, these two teams are evenly matched. They wouldn’t be here if they weren’t good. San Francisco has a dominating defense led by Nick Bosa and Fred Warner, and the offense runs a fantastic scheme and has weapons galore like George Kittle and Deebo Samuel.
The Chiefs offense isn’t quite what it was. They don’t have Tyreek Hill anymore to spread defenses, but Travis Kelce is a match-up problem for opponents, which open lanes for Isiah Pacheco to run. Plus Mahomes ability to scramble and keep plays alive is his most underrated talent.
KC’s defense is still being overlooked, but they’re a lot like the Niners, good up front with Chris Jones and very good in coverage. A close game favors the Chiefs on the moneyline.
Super Bowl 58 over/under totals odds: best bet Under 47.5 (-112 or better)
A total – for those who may not know – is the number of combined points for both teams in the contest. This bet does not hinge on who wins. Like, if you bet the under and the Niners win 45-0, you still win.
This is one of the hardest bets to figure for this one, because it seems like both teams might score right around 20 points. San Francisco went 10-8-1 over/under this season and the Chiefs went 6-14. Five of the last six Chiefs games have hit the under mark.
The NFL likes points and we’ve usually seen them in the Super Bowl. Last year the Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in a game that only had two punts (both by the Chiefs). It used to be thought that the extra week of prep time helped defenses, but now it’s offenses who used that time to exploit gaps and holes. There’s not as many changes a defense can make on the fly.
But neither of these two offenses have been scoring a lot this season. San Francisco was held in check in the first half by the Lions in the NFC title game, before going for 27 points in the second half. Kansas City’s defense is too good for that to happen. It’ll be close, but the under looks like the move.