Super Bowl 58 field goal prop odds, best bets: Will a kicker turn the tide in the Big Game?

Super Bowl 58 field goal prop odds, best bets: Will a kicker turn the tide in the Big Game?

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Super Bowl 58 (6:30 p.m. ET, Feb. 11) will have no shortage of marquee matchups.

We have Nick Bosa and the San Francisco 49ers’ defense trying to slow Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs’ potent offense.

And then there’s Christian McCaffrey and the high-scoring Niners squaring off against Chris Jones and the stingy K.C. defense.

But the outcome of Las Vegas’ first Big Game could hinge on a final-play, 55-yard field goal attempt or wind up being decided on a missed extra point try early in the third quarter.

That in mind, we’re focusing on the Chiefs’ Harrison Butker and 49ers rookie Jake Moody and some of the Super Bowl 58 kicking and field goal props posted at the top-rated online sportsbooks. Kicking indoors at Allegiant Stadium figures to be a definite plus.

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Super Bowl 58 kicking prop best bets: Harrison Butker over 6.5 total kicking points (-140 or better)

Butker’s seventh season in 2023 has been one of his best.

He finished the regular season with a career-best 94.3 percent field goal success rate (33-of-35) and 137 total points — both of which ranked fourth in the league. Butker also connected on all 38 of his extra-point tries.

And in three playoff games since, Butker has been perfect, hitting all seven of his field goal attempts and all seven of his extra point tries.

On the season, K.C. kicker is averaging 8.25 points per game and scored seven or more in 14 of 20 contests this season.

Super Bowl 58 kicking prop best bets: Jake Moody under 7.5 total kicking points (-118 or better)

Moody, a third-round rookie out of Michigan, ranked 20th among kickers with an 84.0 percent (21-of-25) field goal success rate in the regular season and has made three of his five FG attempts in two postseason games.

He’s missed only one of his 68 extra point tries in 19 total games for a total of 139 points (7.32 per contest).

Moody has scored eight or more points in eight of those 19 outings, and given the likelihood that the rookie hasn’t earned the full trust of the Niners’ coaching staff, we’ll go under his 7.5-point Super Bowl prop total.

Super Bowl 58 kicking prop best bets: Under 3.5 total field goals made (-140 or better)

This is a tough call with Butker and Moody averaging a combined 3.26 made field goals per game, but we’ll lean toward the under here as well.

With the magical Mahomes on one side and a high-scoring 49ers offense brimming with play-making weapons on the other, it would stand to reason that coaches Andy Reid and Kyle Shanahan will be pushing the fourth-down envelope in search of touchdowns more often than not.

Super Bowl 58 kicking prop best bets: Chiefs longest field goal made (-105 or better)

We’ve saved our best kicking prop bet for last.

Butker has made all 12 of his field goal attempts from 40-plus yards this season, including six of 50-plus yards, while Moody has hit only 8-of-13 (3-of-4 from 50+) long-distance attempts.

In his career, Butker has been successful on an even 80 percent of his FG attempts from 40-plus yards or longer, including 12-of-15 in the postseason.

And kicking from distance is where the trust factor really comes into play as an errant 52-yard field goal attempt would give the opposing potent offense possession at its own 45-yard-line.

So not only is Butker more likely to be called on for a long-distance attempt, but he’s a higher-percentage bet to connect from deep as well.