Saints vs. Colts prediction: Odds, game and player prop bets

Saints vs. Colts prediction: Odds, game and player prop bets

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A pair of 3-4 teams trending in the wrong direction meet in Indianapolis as the New Orleans Saints visit the 3-4 Indianapolis Colts. The pressure is intensifying on the Saints after they were beaten by the Jaguars last Thursday, while the Colts lost a thriller and a heartbreaker 39-38 to the Cleveland Browns.

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NFL Week 8 Saints vs. Colts odds preview

One of these two teams will be on a three-game losing skid by Monday near the midway point of the season.

The Saints will desperately hope it isn’t them. New Orleans lost 31-24 to Jacksonville as 2.5-point home favorites in Week 7′s Thursday Night Football, a defeat that has left them trailing the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC South standings.

The good news is they’ve had a long rest to regroup and iron out the kinks in what is one of the more underwhelming units in football right now. With Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave serving as a dual threat, Derek Carr needs to dial in and be better at finding his open receivers. There were signs of life in that regard in the fourth quarter last week, and that will need to carry over if the Saints are to change their fortunes.

Meanwhile, the Colts will be disappointed to be off the pace in the AFC South after back-to-back defeats to the Jaguars and the Browns, but they also have one of the league’s most exciting runners in Jonathan Taylor. If things can come together for each team on the offensive end, this could be a potentially explosive affair.

Both of these teams are better on the road than at home, so the Colts’ theoretical home advantage may not mean too much in practice.

Sunday’s kickoff at Lucas Oil Stadium is noon CT. The Saints are underdogs, with the Colts narrow favorites at home.

Best Saints vs. Colts game props and odds: Over 43.5 points (-110)

Put simply, this one’s looking very tight. Inconsistency and struggles to convert offensively have plagued both of these teams, which makes picking a winner with confidence pretty tough.

Instead, consider the over/under, which is set at 43.5.

Through most of this season, the under has been a virtual guarantee for games involving the New Orleans Saints, hitting six times out of six. But it finally went over last week in a 55-point game against the Jags, and there finally seemed to be signs of life late in the game. The Colts’ defense ranks 30th in the NFL in points allowed per game at 27.3. We’re backing the over to hit here.

Best Saints vs. Colts player props bets and odds: Derek Carr over 238.5 passing yards (-117 or better)

Carr hasn’t been great so far in 2023, there’s no denying that. But his graph does appear to be trending upwards.

He has had 654 passing yards and two touchdown passes in his last two games, having not reached the 200-yard mark in any of his previous three. The Colts are giving up plenty of real estate so far, allowing a huge average of 351.3 yards per game. The Saints receiving corps have been loose with the ball but Kamara, Olave, Rashid Shahid, and others make up a potentially lethal arsenal if they can click. Either way, Carr has plenty of targets to hit and will have taken confidence from his recent upturn.

It’s worth noting FanDuel has a slightly lower over/under than other sportsbooks, 236.5 at -114.

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