Odds between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are narrow: Who are people betting on?
Who are bettors placing their money on to win the presidential election?
With less than four weeks to go before Election Day, the race between Vice President Harris and former President Trump remains close.
The race will likely come down to the seven battleground states as national polls show the two candidates neck-and-neck.
Paul Krishnamurty, a BetOnline.ag political oddsmaker, told the Las Vegas Review-Journal on Tuesday that the race “is too close to call,” adding “for once that isn’t a cliche.” BetOnline.ag has Trump as the likely winner at -115, while Harris is at -105, according to its betting odds.
According to electionbettingodds.com, Trump has a 50.6 percent chance of winning the election compared to Harris’s 48.8 percent chance. The website averages out live betting odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt and Polymarket.
According to Polymarket, Trump has a 53.2 percent chance of winning the election while Harris has a 46.2 percent chance. While Polymarket gives Trump the edge in the election now, the former president once had a a 70 percent chance of winning when President Biden was still in the race in July.
Polymarket also gives Trump higher chances of winning the swing states of Arizona, Georgia and Pennslyvannia, while Harris has the edge in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin.
A recent national poll from The New York Times/Siena College showed Harris with a narrow lead over the former president. The poll found Harris with 49 percent of support compared to Trump’s 46 percent of support. This is the first time since July that Harris has taken the lead in the presidential polls by The New York Times and Siena College.
While Harris has a narrow lead over Trump in the NYT poll, national polls do not tell the full status of the race because the Electoral College is determined at the state level.
A recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll found Harris narrowly leading Trump in the swing states of Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and North Carolina. The poll found her tied with Trump in the battleground state of Georgia.