The Atlantic hurricane season is officially underway.

Sunday, June 1, marked the first day of the season for the Atlantic Basin, which also includes the Gulf and the Caribbean. The last day will be Nov. 30.

The Atlantic season typically starts off on the slower side, with increasing activity in August and the climatological peak arriving on Sept. 10.

Here is a look at typical activity over the season:

The 2025 hurricane season is expected to again have more than the usual number of storms.

NOAA released its hurricane outlook for the season in late May.

Forecasters are predicting 12 to 19 named storms, six to 10 hurricanes and three to five major hurricanes, which are Category 3 or stronger storms.

An average season, according to NOAA data, has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

NOAA forecasters think the 2025 hurricane season has a 60 percent probability of being more active than normal. There is a 30 percent chance of near-average numbers and only a 10 percent chance of below-average numbers.

NOAA’s forecasts don’t, however, have the ability to predict there those storms could go.

However, Colorado State University forecasters, who released an early forecast in April, think there is a just-slightly above-average probability (33 percent) of a major hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast (from Texas to the Florida Panhandle). The average probability of that happening is 27 percent based on data from 1880 to 2020.

For the entire U.S. coast the probability is 51 percent (the average is 43 percent).

There are no tropical storms expected in the Atlantic in the next week, according to the National Hurricane Center:

Hurricane watchers are avidly scouring computer model data about what could be brewing in June.

Some forecast models are suggesting a tropical system could form in the Caribbean in the next few weeks, but other models show nothing happening in that same area.

One model in particular, the GFS (or Global Forecast System), is notorious for spinning up what some call “fantasy ‘canes” that don’t materialize. That has been happening in the past few days, but that idea is not supported by other models.