The probability of tropical mischief in the Gulf or southwest Atlantic has increased a bit as of Tuesday.

The National Hurricane Center will be watching a frontal boundary that is expected to stall near the Gulf Coast this week.

Forecasters think that there’s a chance an area of low pressure could develop along that boundary in the Gulf or southwest Atlantic over the weekend.

Forecasters tend to keep a close eye on things anytime a front stalls out in the Gulf during hurricane season, and this is no exception.

There is a 30 percent probability that a tropical depression could form in the next seven days, which is an increase from 20 percent on Monday.

The hurricane center said the area of low pressure could develop in the Gulf, the Atlantic or over Florida this weekend, and “some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low drifts and moves little.”

The National Weather Service in Mobile was also watching the potential system and said on Tuesday it’s too early to determine whether it could affect the Alabama Gulf Coast.

A system has to have a defined surface circulation and winds of at least 40 mph to be considered a tropical storm and get a name. The next name on the 2025 storm list is Chantal.

There are no other areas of potential tropical development in the Atlantic Basin (which includes the Gulf and Caribbean) as of Tuesday.

The Atlantic hurricane season began June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

So far this season there have been two weak, short-lived tropical storms. Andrea formed June 24 in the central Atlantic and never affected land. Barry was a brief tropical storm that made landfall on Sunday in eastern Mexico as a tropical depression.

An above-average number of storms is expected over the course of the season, which is typically busiest in August and September.