Harris vs. Trump presidential poll: Latest numbers from 7 battleground states

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in a tight race in seven key battleground states, according to the latest presidential poll.

The Washington Post/Schar School poll shows 47% of registered voters in the states said they would definitely or probably support Harris while 47% who said they will definitely or probably support Trump. Among likely voters, 49% support Harris and 48% back Trump.

The poll shows Harris leading in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin with Trump ahead in Arizona and North Carolina and the two tied in Nevada. State-by-state breakdown includes:

Georgia

  • Harris – 51%
  • Trump – 47%

Michigan

  • Harris – 49%
  • Trump – 47%

Pennsylvania

  • Harris – 49%
  • Trump – 47%

Wisconsin

  • Harris – 50%
  • Trump – 47%

Arizona

  • Trump – 49%
  • Harris – 46%

North Carolina

  • Trump – 50%
  • Harris – 47%

Nevada

  • Harris – 48%
  • Trump – 48%

Six percent of all key-state voters said they wouldn’t support either Harris or Trump and, if they had to choose between the two, would opt not to vote.

Job performance numbers

The poll showed that more people approved of how Trump handled his presidency than Harris’ performance as VP. Fifty-one percent approved of how Trump handled his presidency compared to 49% who did not, for a positive 2 percentage point advantage. Harris’ approval was underwater, however, with 44% approving and 55% disapproving for a negative 11 percentage point score.

Individual issues

When it comes to which candidate would handle individual issues the best, Harris fared better on healthcare (46%), access to abortion (51%), gun control (41%), racism (48%) and climate change (46%). Trump scored better on inflation (49%), economy (51%), threats to democracy (43), crime (45%), immigration (52%), U.S. policy on the Israel-Gaza war (45%) and war between Russia and Ukraine (47%).

The leading issue, according to 66% of respondents, was inflation.

The poll was conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 15 among a sample of 5,016 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The overall margin of error was plus/minus 1.7 percentage points.