Florida watching tropical disturbance in Atlantic
Could Florida have to deal with a tropical or subtropical storm next week?
It’s possible. The National Hurricane Center on Saturday continued to monitor an area in the Caribbean and southwest Atlantic that could organize into a tropical or subtropical system next week.
Whether it gets a name or not it could bring some nasty weather to parts of the Sunshine State for several days next week.
The hurricane center said “there is an increasing risk” of coastal flooding, gusty winds, heavy rain, rip currents and beach erosion along the eastern Florida peninsula and parts of the Southeast next week.
In addition, it could also cause a lot of heavy rain in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands this weekend.
The area of low pressure being watched was in the eastern Caribbean on Saturday. The hurricane center said it is expected to track northward and into the southwest Atlantic on Sunday, and an area of low pressure could form north of Hispaniola.
The system has the potential to get more organized and could morph into a tropical or subtropical depression next week.
It’s expected to continue to track to the west or west-northwest during that time.
What if it’s a subtropical storm? That means it will be a sort of hybrid system with some of the characteristics of a fully tropical system — but not all of them.
Subtropical systems can sometimes be lopsided, with most of their worst weather on their eastern sides and far from the center.
However, the hurricane center still gives them names just like fully tropical systems.
Forecasters were also watching another area of disturbed weather to the north on Saturday. It had a 50 percent probability of becoming a tropical depression in the next five days.
The hurricane center said a non-tropical area of low pressure was located several hundred miles east of Bermuda on Saturday.
It was looking more organized as of Saturday, and the hurricane center said more development will be possible over the next two to three days. After that, however, it will run into stronger winds and additional development isn’t expected.
A system has to have a defined center and winds of at least 39 mph to be considered a tropical (or subtropical) storm and get a name. The next two names on the list are Nicole and Owen.
The hurricane center issued its last advisory earlier Saturday on Lisa, which hit Belize as a hurricane on Wednesday and later moved into the southern Gulf. Lisa wasn’t able to re-strengthen and became a remnant low on Saturday.
The Atlantic hurricane season is not over but is starting to wind down. The last official day of the season will be Nov. 30.