Florida vs. Norfolk State predictions, picks, best bets for March Madness first round

Auburn may be the NCAA Tournament No. 1 overall seed. But Florida is the favorite to win the national championship among SEC teams.

The Gators have been on a tear, winning the SEC Tournament as part of their 12-1 stretch over their past 13 games.

As the top seed in the West region, Florida is expected to run its winning streak to seven against No. 16 Norfolk State — and even beyond since the Gators have the second-shortest odds to win it all behind to Duke.

Florida vs. Norfolk State predictions and best bets

  • Florida moneyline (-30000) at FanDuel
  • Norfolk State +28.5 (-110) at bet365
  • Over 153.5 points (-110) at bet365

The Gators are the second-highest-scoring team in the country, averaging more than 85 points per game. They’ve topped 79 points in 13 straight games and put up 85-plus in nine of those.

But the Spartans have gone toe-to-toe with some of the nation’s best teams. They have covered +28.5 in every game this season, including against NCAA Tournament teams like Baylor and Tennessee.

There are more lucrative moneyline odds than the -30000 at FanDuel. But if you sign up and then take the Gators to win with a $5+ wager, you can unlock $200 in bonus bets — as long as the Gators don’t become the third No. 1 seed to lose to a 16-seed in the 40-year history of 1 vs 16 matchups.

Florida vs Norfolk State moneyline odds analysis

The Spartans are not likely to shock the extraordinarily skilled Gators, but they have the shortest moneyline odds of any No. 16 seed at DraftKings (+2500) and FanDuel (+4000).

The Spartans are making their third NCAA Tournament appearance in the past five years, and Robert Jones’ team is 15-3 in their past 18 games.

Still, if you have a must-win new-user promo — like FanDuel or BetMGM in some states — wagering Florida to advance is a good use of it.

Why Florida could win as the favorite

Best moneyline odds: -9000 at DraftKings

Not only is it one of the hottest teams in college basketball, but Florida is also supremely talented. The Gators are allowing only 69 points per game, and they have only been held under 70 points once this season.

Florida also is one of the nation’s top rebounding teams, ranking third in the country in boards per game (42.0). If the Gators can take advantage of their size advantage — Norfolk State’s tallest starter is Kulel Mading at 6-9 — they should win with relative ease.

Why Norfolk State could win as the underdog

Best odds: +4000 at FanDuel

If the Spartans make shots. Of all the No. 16 seeds, the Spartans are the only one with a puncher’s chance of pulling off the upset.

They only attempt about 16 3-pointers per game, and only make them at about 33 percent. But if the Spartans can gain some confidence early and withstand Florida’s inevitable runs, anything is possible.