Farmers’ Almanac summer 2025 forecast: Alabama faces ‘brutally’ hot, humid, stormy season

Meteorological summer doesn’t begin until June 1, although Alabama is already feeling summer-like heat.

But what will the summer bring to the state?

The Farmers’ Almanac (which differs from the Old Farmer’s Almanac) has offered a guess with its summer forecast.

But it’s not much of a surprise for those accustomed to Alabama summers.

The Almanac is forecasting a “brutally humid and wet” summer season for Alabama, and the rest of the Southeast as well.

(The Almanac includes Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi and Florida in its Southeast region.)

The Almanac also said it could be wetter than usual along the Gulf Coast over the summer months.

And there could be a possible hurricane threat.

The Almanac said that a hurricane will be possible for the Florida Gulf Coast during the second week of August, and that storm could go on to threaten the southeast Atlantic coast of the U.S.

The Almanac also said a second hurricane threat will be possible along the Atlantic coast during the second week of September.

August and September typically are some of the most active months for hurricanes in the Atlantic.

What about the Fourth of July? The Almanac has a forecast for that.

The Almanac says to be on the lookout for “big thunderstorms” in north Alabama (as well as parts of Tennessee, Mississippi and Georgia) on Independence Day.

What about the forecast for the rest of the U.S.? Here’s the Almanac summer forecast for the rest of the U.S.:

  • Northeast and New England (New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Washington D.C.): Broiling with average precipitation. 
  • Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Midwest (Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Kentucky, Illinois, Wisconsin): Sultry, thunder-filled.
  • North Central (Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Colorado, Wyoming, Montana): Scorching with average rainfall.
  • South Central (Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico): Sizzling, showery.
  • Northwest (Washington, Oregon, Idaho): Warm, dry.
  • Southwest (California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona): Hot, very dry.

What about other summer outlooks?

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has an outlook for temperature and precipitation for the months of May, June and July.

The temperature outlook, shown at the top of this post, includes higher chances for above-average temperatures in Alabama over those three months.

South Alabama has a 50-60 percent probability of above-average temperatures, and the rest of the state has a 40-50 percent probability.

What about rain?

This is the precipitation outlook for the months of May, June and July. Southwest Alabama has the best chances of seeing above-average precipitation during those months.CPC

The precipitation outlook, also for the months of May through July, includes above 40-50 percent probability for above-average rainfall for Alabama’s coastal areas.

The rest of south Alabama and the southern half of central Alabama has a 33-40 percent probability for above-average rainfall.

The rest of the state will have equal chances for above-average or below-average rainfall over those three months.

The Climate Prediction Center will update those forecasts frequently.

Some upcoming dates:

  • May 26: Memorial Day
  • June 1: first day of meteorological summer, which is June, July and August
  • June 1: first day of Atlantic hurricane season (ends on Nov. 30)
  • June 20: First day of astronomical summer
  • July 4 falls on a Friday in 2025