Daytona 500 predictions, picks and best bets for The Great American Race
Chase Briscoe is on the pole for the 67th running of the Daytona 500, as the green flag drops on Sunday, Feb. 16 at 2:30 p.m. ET. Austin Cindric, who won the Daytona 500 in 2022, and also finished first in the second qualifying race on Thursday, is on the front row with Briscoe.
William Byron is attempting to become the fifth driver to win “The Great American Race” in consecutive seasons. Denny Hamlin is the most recent driver to pull off that feat in 2019 and 2020, and he leads all active drivers with three Daytona 500 wins.
Forecasting a winner in a superspeedway event is never easy, though. Pack racing and wrecks can always lead to an unlikely winner at a track like Daytona. Five different drivers have won the Daytona in the last five years. Nine drivers have won their first career Cup Series race in the Daytona 500.
You can also wager on top 3, top 5 and top 10 finishes and driver props. Spread your bets out to increase your chances of gaining payouts, as any driver can crash and see his day end at any time. We take a look at the field for betting purposes as the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season opens in annual grand fashion.
RELATED: Check out our 2025 NASCAR Championship odds and props
2025 Daytona 500 Winner Odds
Odds current as of Feb. 14 on DraftKings Sportsbook
- Ryan Blaney +1000
- Kyle Busch +1200
- Joey Logano +1200
- Denny Hamlin +1200
- Chase Elliott +1200
- Brad Keselowski +1200
- Kyle Larson +1400
- William Byron +1400
- Christopher Bell +1600
- Tyler Reddick +2000
- Chris Buescher +2000
- Chase Briscoe +2000
- Bubba Wallace +2000
- Austin Cindric +2000
- Ross Chastain +2200
- Alex Bowman +2500
- Ty Gibbs +2800
- Todd Gilliland +2800
- Josh Berry +2800
- Ryan Preece +3000
*Note: Odds are based on the best value our experts find as of publication; check lines prior to the race to ensure you get the best odds.
Daytona 500 betting favorites
Blaney has wrecked in his last three Daytona starts, but after narrowly being edged out for the championship in the final race of last season, he may be primed to start off with a bang in 2025. But it might be better to wager on Busch, who has never won the Daytona 500, but has the best career Driver Rating at the site (91.1).
History is working against Logano, as the last defending Cup Series champion to win the Daytona 500 was Dale Jarrett in 2000. Hamlin’s crew chief change might work against him over the full season, but he led 15 of the first 16 laps in the second qualifying race on Thursday and cannot be counted out as a prime contender for this event.
Elliott has never won at Daytona and has one top 10 finish in his last six starts at the site. Keselowski is always a threat to vie for a win at a superspeedway.
He has won six times at Talladega, finished second twice there last year, and was also second in the 2023 Daytona race. Fade Larson here, as superspeedways are not his best type of track.
Byron is a two-time Daytona winner, but before Hamlin repeated as the race winner, no other driver had won consecutive Daytona 500s since 1994 and 1995. It’s a rare occurrence, and of this group, I am most in on Blaney, Busch, Hamlin and Keselowski.
Daytona 500 contenders
Bell is one of my prime favorites. He has finished third in three of his last four Daytona starts and might open a championship push in 2025 with a win. Reddick wrecked in three of his last four starts at Daytona.
In 2023, Buescher finished fourth in the Daytona 500 and then won the second race at the site. He is a good target for a +2000 return on DraftKings Sportsbook. History is also against Briscoe, as the pole winner has finished 14th or worse in nine of the last 10 Daytona 500 events.
Bubba Wallace won the first qualifying race on Thursday, and while the Daytona 500 winner has started 10th or lower in six of the last seven races, I would at least wager on him to finish in the top 5 at +260.
He finished fifth and sixth at Daytona last year. Cindric has run so well during Speedweeks, that I would throw in a bet for him to win the race and also for a top 3 (+550) and top 5 (+260) finish.
Daytona 500 betting long shots
Bowman (+2500) has finished in the top six in three of his last four Daytona starts and is a strong pick. Go for a top 3 on Bowman at +700.
Corey LaJoie (+100000) is the type of surprise driver who could push for a top spot after some wrecks. He finished in the top 10 in two of his last three starts at the site and is a good target to place in the top 5 at +1200.
Erik Jones (+3500) finished eighth in the Daytona 500 last year and nearly won the second qualifying race on Thursday. Bet on him for a top 5 showing at +450.
Austin Dillon (+3500) can display his best form at superspeedways. Josh Berry (+2800) is in the Wood Brothers No. 21 car, which won the second Daytona race last season.
Cody Ware has the longest odds to with the Daytona 500 at +15000, yet he has finished fourth and sixth in two of his last three starts at the site. Take a chance on him to finish in he top 5 at +1800.
More Daytona 500 Betting tips
- Top 3 Finishers: Kyle Busch (+350 at DraftKings Sportsbook), Brad Keselowski (+350), Christopher Bell (+450), Bubba Wallace (+550).
- Top 5 Finishers: Chris Buescher (+260), Ty Gibbs (+360), Todd Gilliland (+360), Austin Dillon (+450).
- Top 10 Finishers: Justin Haley (+210), Daniel Suárez (+210), Jimmie Johnson (+260), Zane Smith (+330), Cody Ware (+500).
- Driver Prop: Christopher Bell +225 Over Bubba Wallace, Chase Briscoe, Austin Cindric.
- Race Prop: Top Ford – Brad Keselowski (+425).
- Race Prop: Winning Manufacturer – Ford (+150).