How to bet Atlanta Braves futures as they rebound from horrible start
The Atlanta Braves entered the 2025 MLB season with expectations to be one of the best teams in baseball and one of the strongest World Series contenders. Those expectations were reflected in their preseason MLB futures betting odds.
Before the season, the Braves’ World Series futures odds were around +800 at most sportsbooks; only the Dodgers and (at some sportsbooks) the Yankees had shorter odds. They were also small favorites to win the NL East (+150) and had the second-highest win total over/under at 93.5.
Then the season started, and things changed quickly.
Atlanta started the season 0-7, its worst start since 2016. That rough start (to put it nicely) placed them in some inauspicious historical territory. None of the previous 29 teams that started a season 0-7 made the playoffs, and only two of them finished the season above .500.
Of course, the MLB playoff picture is much different now than it has been for most of baseball’s illustrious history. This is only the fourth season since the MLB playoff field expanded to include three wild card teams, which certainly makes it easier for a team to recover from a bad start and still make the playoffs.
That is just one of the reasons the Braves can still be optimistic about this season. The bigger reason is that they have recovered quickly from that horrible start. They are already back to within one game of .500 and within one run of a positive run differential.
The Braves futures odds of course have changed since the season began, but they are still among the biggest favorites to make the playoffs and even to win the World Series.
Let’s take a look at where the Braves futures odds stand at this early point in the season and discuss which futures bets might be worth making.
2025 Atlanta Braves futures odds
Here are both the preseason and current betting odds for some of the most popular Atlanta Braves futures betting markets. All odds are provided by either DraftKings or bet365 as of May 7.
Betting market | Preseason odds | Current odds | Sportsbook |
---|---|---|---|
To win the World Series | +800 (2nd in MLB) | +1600 (T-7th) | DraftKings |
To win the NL East | +150 (1st in NL East) | +320 (3rd) | DraftKings |
To make the playoffs | -340 (3rd in MLB, 2nd in NL) | -135 (9th, 6th) | DraftKings |
Wins over/under | 93.5 | 90.5 | bet365 |
Based on these odds, the Braves are still expected to make the playoffs. Their -135 odds imply roughly a 57% probability, which is less than the projections by reputable baseball analytics services like Baseball Prospectus (73.6% chance) and FanGraphs (68.2%).
There is also a gap between those services’ projections and the implied probability for the Braves to win the NL East or the World Series. The +320 odds to win the division imply a 23.8% chance, while Baseball Prospectus’ and FanGraphs’ projections are 25.5% and 28.1%, respectively. For the World Series, the odds imply a 5.88% chance, while Baseball Prospectus and FanGraphs are 8.1% and 7.7%, respectively.
In all markets, the analytical models are higher than the odds, which is usually the case. However, it’s interesting that the gap is much wider for making the playoffs than for the other markets. That could indicate some nice value on bets on the Braves to make the playoffs.
Atlanta Braves futures best bets
Best bet: Braves to win the NL East (+450 at bet365)
The Braves’ slow start has created some good opportunities to capture value in the futures markets. While they face an uphill battle in the standings, their performance since the 0-7 start is reason for optimism.
The offense was one of the biggest issues early on, but since then they are 7th in OPS (.758) and 8th in wRC+ (an advanced metric measuring runs created based on opponent and park factors). A few key additions to the lineup have contributed to that, namely Sean Murphy (on April 8) and Alex Verdugo (on April 17).
The reinvigorated offense appears to be sustainable. While the recent performance by guys like Murphy and Verdugo may not continue all season, it’s reasonable to expect established but struggling stars like Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies to get closer to their usual numbers at some point.
They will also get a big boost whenever 2023 NL MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. returns to the lineup, even if he is not 100%. Ditto for Spencer Strider and the impact he will (or at least should) have on the rotation.
The Braves still have some issues to work out, and they face some stiff competition in the National League, but the arrow is pointing up. That makes now a good time to pounce on some futures bets. It’s a perfect sweet spot where the slow start is still creating some longer odds, but they have done enough to right the ship and provide reason for confidence going forward.
All of the Braves’ futures bets discussed above look like solid values right now, but the best bet is on the Braves to win the NL East. Part of the reason is the +450 odds at bet365, which are an outlier right now compared to most other sportsbooks that have priced them between +290 and +320.
It’s still very early in the season, and the Braves’ current five-game deficit in the division is far from insurmountable. There is also reason to be pessimistic about both the Mets and Phillies.
The Mets’ starting rotation has far exceeded expectations with a league-best 2.80 ERA, but can they keep that up for a full season? The Phillies’ lineup has been inconsistent with multiple key bats in the middle of the order struggling, and the bullpen has logged the 5th-worst ERA (4.78) and is tied for the most blown saves (8).
Those are potentially fixable problems and may not be fatal flaws. The Braves are not perfect, either, of course. The point is that this division is still pretty wide open, and at +450 odds, the preseason favorites are a great value.
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