Braves vs. Reds predictions, picks and best bets for MLB Speedway Classic
If you haven’t seen the Atlanta Braves play a game all year, Saturday is the one to tune in for. Atlanta will take on the Cincinnati Reds in the inaugural MLB Speedway Classic at Bristol Motor Speedway in Tennessee.
If you’re looking forward to one of the most extraordinary MLB venues in recent memory, and want to place bets on the action, here are our predictions and best bets.
Braves vs Reds predictions and best bets
- Braves moneyline (-127 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Over 8 runs (-110 odds at Caesars Sportsbook)
The Reds are still in the hunt for the last National League playoff spot, but they must win Saturday to stay in contention — especially while chasing the red-hot San Diego Padres, who loaded up at the trade deadline.
Cincinnati can’t afford to lose a series to the Braves, who have been out of contention for months.
These teams combined for 23 runs and 30 hits in the series opener in Cincinnati on Thursday, and with Reds rookie Chase Burns on the hill, the ball could fly out of Bristol Motor Speedway.
Burns has allowed at least three earned runs in four of six starts and has surrendered at least five twice. Plus, with superstar offensive players like Elly De La Cruz, Matt Olson and Austin Riley, there should be plenty of runs scored Saturday.
Braves vs Reds moneyline odds analysis
If you like fast cars and fast pitching, Spencer Strider is the perfect starter for the Braves in this game. He averages 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings this year, which is well below his career average of 13 Ks per 9.
Burns is a strikeout machine, too. Plus, the name “Chase” is perfect for a game at a speedway. Burns has 45 strikeouts in 27 1/3 innings and has hit double-digit Ks in three straight outings.
But Atlanta has the clear pitching advantage, since Strider has a solid 3.71 ERA and 1.22 WHIP despite his 5-8 record. Cincinnati is 1-5 in Burns’ six starts, with its lone victory coming in walk-off fashion against the Yankees.
Why the Braves could win as the favorite
Best odds: -127 at DraftKings Sportsbook
If Atlanta gets to Burns early, it could coast to a victory, so Braves -1.5 (+130 odds at bet365 Sportsbook) is on the table.
The Braves did blow an eight-run lead in the series opener Thursday, much to run-line bettors’ chagrin. But the Braves are 5-4 in Strider’s past nine starts, and all five victories have come by at least three runs.
Why the Reds could win as the underdog
Best odds: +114 at FanDuel Sportsbook
If the Reds bring their hitting shoes to Tennessee, they will be in good shape. Cincinnati is an offensively driven team, since it ranks ninth in the majors in runs scored (507), keyed by De La Cruz’s 80 runs and .852 OPS.
So if the Reds can get to Strider, and/or De La Cruz starts flying around the bases like a Chevy at the Food City 500, they can overcome Burns’ inexperience and mash their way to victory.
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