Best game and team prop bets to place now for Auburn vs. Alabama
The Iron Bowl hits the hardwood on Saturday afternoon in the most exciting matchup of the college basketball slate. The intensity will be at an all-time high, as the No. 1 Tigers and No. 2 Crimson Tide currently share the top spot in the SEC standings.
This matchup is the first time a pair of SEC teams will face off as the two best teams in the AP poll. Alabama is looking to extend a seven-game win streak, while Auburn’s only road loss came against No. 3 Duke.
Recent Iron Bowl of Basketball clashes have come down to the wire, and Saturday’s game should be no different. Below are my three favorite game and team prop bets for Auburn versus Alabama.
Game and team prop predictions for Auburn vs. Alabama
Either team to win by five or less (+135)
With the spread set at Alabama -1.5, oddsmakers anticipate the game being decided in the final possessions. According to TeamRankings, the Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS versus SEC opponents and I expect Alabama to come out on top.
Head coach Nate Oats’ up-tempo offense focuses on 3-pointers, layups and trips to the charity stripe. The system is clearly working, as Alabama’s 90.5 points per game are the most in college basketball.
However, playing at a fast pace comes with downsides. The Crimson Tide have committed 17 turnovers or more in two of the last three games. Auburn’s veteran defense averages 7.5 steals per contest, which should give the Tigers plenty of opportunities to match Alabama’s scoring and keep the game tight.
Auburn to win the race to 20 points (-120)
I’m predicting Alabama to win the game but look for Auburn to have the faster start and be the first team to hit the 20-point mark. The Crimson Tide occasionally struggles against well-rounded offenses, and the Tigers fit the description.
Alabama is an offensive juggernaut, but Auburn has also been lighting it up with 84.8 points per game. Wooden Award candidate Johni Broome plays with physicality near the basket, while Denver Jones and Tahaad Pettiford are reliable from beyond the arc.
Auburn rarely commits turnovers, and Alabama will be forced to earn most of their buckets. Attacking the offensive glass is another strength for the Tigers and second-chance scoring will be monumental in the race to 20 points.
Alabama under 86.5 points (-110)
Alabama has the most prolific offense in college basketball, leading the nation with seven games of 100 points or more. However, getting shots to fall has proven much tougher against Auburn.
The Crimson Tide scored less than 86 points in six of the last seven meetings with the Tigers. Head coach Bruce Pearl’s veteran roster surrenders 67.7 points per game, and only two teams have scored more than 83 points versus Auburn.
Getting clean looks near the rim will be a challenge for Alabama. Broome and fellow Auburn big man Dylan Cardwell are excellent shot blockers that should limit Grant Nelson’s scoring.
Playing tight defense on Alabama’s guards is a must for Chad Baker-Mazara and Miles Kelly. The Crimson Tide rank 12th nationally in 3-point attempts and can score in bunches if Mark Sears and Aden Holloway get open shots.