Saturday’s SEC football matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Oklahoma Sooners should be a good one, as both schools have plenty of incentive to win.

Alabama is chasing an SEC title and a potential College Football Playoff spot. A victory by Oklahoma ensures the Sooners will make their 26th consecutive bowl game appearance.

Join me as I share my best prop and game picks for Alabama vs. Oklahoma.

Note: Odds are based on the best value our experts find as of publication; check lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.

Best Alabama vs. Oklahoma game pick for CFB Week 13

• Alabama team total under total 29.5: +100 at DraftKings

Alabama has hung some big numbers on opponents this season. Ot has cleared 30-plus eight times this season, but Saturday night in Norman, Oklahoma, won’t be one of them.

Oklahoma fans have been waiting years for the Crimson Tide to turn up. That fanbase is rabid, and Memorial Stadium is not a fun place for opposing teams to visit.

The Sooners have a 25-year bowl game eligibility streak on the line. They need one more victory. Saturday is their last home game, and they’ll be ready for war.

The Sooners’ defense bends quite a bit, but the red zone defense has a 77% success rate, which happens to be one of the best nationally. Alabama has stumbled at times from 20 yards out, and I expect those struggles to continue against a terrific goal-line-defense unit.

Scoring 30 points in this environment is a big ask, even for an offense like Alabama. The Tide will score points, just not as many as oddsmakers think they will.

Best Alabama vs. Oklahoma player prop picks for CFB Week 13

• Jalen Millroe over 47.5 rushing yards: +110 at Caesars
• Jackson Arnold over 28.5 rushing yards: -115 at Caesars

Alabama dual-threat quarterback Jalen Milroe can beat offenses in any number of ways. I expect one of the ways he’ll beat the Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday is with his feet.

Milroe has 608 rushing yards on 120 carries. That amounts to 5.8 rushing yards per attempt, and he has an interesting matchup Saturday against a stout Oklahoma rushing defense.

The Sooners allow a paltry 109 rushing yards per game, but Milroe and the Alabama ground attack is just as tough, maybe even tougher. The Sooners’ passing defense is a work in progress, but they have recorded an SEC-best 32 sacks.

I expect Oklahoma to come after Milroe, and that’s when he’ll just tuck and run. Milroe has rushed for 48-plus yards in half of his 10 games. He averages 12 carries per game, and I suspect the Oklahoma pass rush may force a rise in his attempts.

This is a big one, and I expect Milroe to have a big rushing night.

Oklahoma sophomore signal-caller Jackson Arnold has been sacked 29 times this season.

The Sooners have started a different offensive line eight times this season, which explains the sacks and why he’s rushed for more than 29 yards in seven of his last nine games.

Alabama hasn’t generated much of a pass rush, but it covers opposing wideouts well. The Crimson Tide secondary ranks second in the conference with 14 interceptions. It covers wideouts like a blanket and forces opposing quarterbacks into mistakes.

The Crimson Tide defensive line may not get many sacks, but it will look for a few Saturday night. The tight coverage combined with an aggressive pass rush is going to force Arnold to use his feet to escape, and that’s how he’ll clear his prop number.

Fleeing the pocket is something Arnold is used to. He’s scampered for 29-plus yards in eight of his 10 games this season, and he’ll scamper for 29-plus on Saturday.