Alabama’s long-range forecast hints at possibility of severe weather next week

Alabama’s long-range forecast hints at possibility of severe weather next week

There is NO severe weather in the forecast for Alabama today, but that may not be the case next week.

Alabama is expected to get rain and some thunderstorms later today and into tonight before a cold front sweeps through the state.

However, NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center is not predicting a risk of severe weather today or tonight.

Here’s today’s severe weather outlook, which says thunderstorms will be possible for north and parts of central Alabama, but no organized severe weather:

The areas in green in Alabama could have some thunderstorms later today, but no severe weather is expected.SPC

But SPC forecasters have added a risk for severe storms for next Wednesday, Feb. 28.

The Storm Prediction Center’s forecast for Feb. 28 has a baseline severe weather risk outlined for all of north Alabama and most of central Alabama (see that forecast at the top of this post).

Disclaimer here: There’s no guarantee that there will be severe weather next week, and the fact that the SPC has added it to the forecast this early isn’t an indication of a possible severe weather outbreak. It’s just a heads up that storms will be possible next week.

The National Weather Service will be monitoring conditions next week, but forecasters said Thursday morning that it was too soon to tell if there will be any storm threats at this time.

Forecast models point to a strong cold front approaching Alabama on Wednesday, and there’s a chance it could kick off a round of storms.

Temperatures by next Wednesday certainly look warm enough to support storms. The National Weather Service is forecasting highs to reach the 70s statewide, and areas in south-central Alabama could hit 80 degrees.

Here are the forecast high temperatures for Wednesday, Feb. 28:

Feb. 28 forecast highs

Here is the high temperature forecast for Feb. 28 (next Wednesday). Some areas could get very close to 80 degrees.NWS

The timing for storms next Wednesday looks to be later in the day into the nighttime hours, according to the weather service. But note that could change as forecast details come into focus.

“Still a long ways out, but this system bears close watching for the potential for strong storms, heavy rainfall, and breezy gradient winds,” the weather service said.