Alabama vs. Michigan top game and player prop best bets: Ryan Williams to shine again?

Last season, Alabama and Michigan met with a berth in the College Football Playoff championship game on the line. Today they meet again in a game with significantly less at stake.

The Crimson Tide and Wolverines will square off in the ReliaQuest Bowl in Tampa, Fla., at noon ET. Alabama is a lofty 14- or 14.5-point favorite. The over/under is 43.5 points.

Alabama head coach Kalen DeBoer said in a press conference in Tampa that he expects quarterback Jalen Millroe to play on Tuesday, though Alabama has at least nine players who have opted out, including backup running back Justice Haynes.

Michigan has 23 players who will miss the game for various reasons. Here are our Alabama vs. Michigan top game and player prop best bets.

Note: Odds are based on the best value our experts find as of publication; check lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.

Ryan Williams Over 61.5 receiving yards

Best odds: -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook

What happened to wide receiver Ryan Williams over the last four games? He averaged 4.4 receptions and 87.8 yards in the first eight games but dropped to 2.5 receptions and 38.8 yards in the last four. He scored one of his eight touchdowns in the last third of the regular season.

Call it a hunch, but I think we can expect more of what we saw in the first eight games against Michigan.

Williams is an electric player, and the ReliaQuest Bowl is a great setting for him to dazzle one more time in the 2024-25 season. Alabama will try to win, but there is no pressure. It’s more likely the coaching staff will let it rip and dial up some big plays.

Quarterback Jalen Millroe could have more time to throw than most QBs against Michigan. The Wolverines are missing several key players on the defensive line, including DT Mason Graham who is projected to be picked in the top five of the 2025 NFL Draft.

Alabama moneyline and Under 48.5 points

Best odds: -135 at BetMGM Sportsbook

BetMGM Sportsbook offers a handful of alternate totals and allows the user to combine those overs or unders with each team’s moneyline. This is the best value we could find.

Alabama is favored to win by 14 or 14.5 points, so you’re getting a massive discount on this parlay when it comes to the point spread. The total with -110 odds both ways is 43.5 points, so you’re also getting an extra five points on the Under.

As you’ll read below, we don’t expect Michigan’s offense to help much with this total, so this seems like solid odds for this parlay.

Michigan team total Under 13.5 points

Best odds: -102 at FanDuel Sportsbook

When Michigan hits the field at Raymond James Stadium, it will be a shell of the team that has played all season. That’s bad news for the offense on Tuesday because the offense was already sub-par during the regular season.

The Wolverines will be missing their top three rushers and their top two pass catchers. The top running back on the depth chart will be Benjamin Hall, who had 44 yards on 13 carries this season. The top two pass catches will be WR Semaj Morgan and TE Marlin Klein, who combined for 35 receptions, 235 receiving yards and one touchdown this season.

It’s difficult to imagine the Wolverines finding much success on offense when their already lackluster offensive roster is extremely depleted.