A few strong storms possible Sunday night
The National Weather Service is monitoring a low-end risk for a few strong to severe storms on Sunday and Monday in Alabama.
Damaging winds and hail will be the biggest concerns. The tornado threat is low but not zero.
Forecasters also expect it to be windy again on Sunday, and non-storm winds could gust as high as 30 mph starting on Sunday afternoon and lasting into the evening hours.
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a Level 1 out of 5 (marginal) threat for severe weather for parts of north and west Alabama on Sunday. A small area in far northwest Alabama also has a Level 2 (slight) risk (see Sunday’s risk areas at the top of this post).
And the SPC has added a Level 1 risk for south Alabama on Monday as those same storms arrive in that part of the state.
Here’s Monday’s severe weather outlook:
Isolated severe storms will be possible on Monday in the areas in dark green.SPC
A Level 1 risk means that isolated severe storms will be possible. A Level 2 risk means scattered severe storms will be possible.
Sunday night will be nothing like March 15, when Alabama was under a Level 5 out of 5 risk that resulted in 17 confirmed tornadoes and three deaths.
The weather service said Sunday night’s risk is a low-end one. All the ingredients will not be in place for a full-fledged severe weather event.
A stray shower will be possible in Alabama on Sunday afternoon but the main round of rain and storms isn’t expected to arrive until Sunday night as a cold front drops into the state.
The weather service cautioned that the timing of storms on Sunday is still uncertain and subject to change, but they could reach northwest Alabama from 4-8 p.m. Sunday and track eastward through the nighttime hours.
The weakening line of rain and storms could reach southern Alabama during the morning hours.
However, the weather service in Mobile said the best chance for stronger storms will be east of Interstate 65 on Monday afternoon.
Storms are expected to move out of the state later in the day on Monday, and calmer weather is expected for the rest of next week, with no severe weather expected in the longer-range forecast.