‘High impact’ severe weather possible Monday in Alabama

‘High impact’ severe weather possible Monday in Alabama

Severe weather will be possible across the southern half of Alabama starting on Monday and lasting into the overnight hours of Tuesday.

It will also be windy across the rest of the state, and downed trees and power outages could be possible even in areas that don’t get severe storms.

The National Weather Service said a “high impact” event could be possible for parts of south Alabama, with two rounds of storms expected. Tornadoes — including a few strong ones — will be possible as well as wind gusts over 60 mph and 2 to 4 inches of rain.

The potential for high winds is also something to note. The weather service said there will be potential for “widespread” wind damage for areas in south Alabama — but the rest of the state could have wind gusts in the 40 to 50 mph range, which could be enough to take down tree limbs and power lines.

The weather service stressed that the potential for power outages makes it especially important to have multiple ways of getting severe weather warnings for this event — especially ones that can wake you up if needed.

Rain and storms will be possible for all of Alabama from Monday into Tuesday, as well as high wind gusts. But the highest chances for severe weather will be for the southern half of the state. No severe storms are expected for north Alabama.

The weather service said showers and storms could begin to affect south Alabama on Monday afternoon, but the main window for severe weather for south Alabama could stretch from 12 a.m. Tuesday through the morning hours.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has most of south Alabama included in a Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe weather from Monday until 6 a.m. Tuesday. The southeastern part of the state also has a Level 2 risk during the morning hours on Tuesday.

A Level 2 risk means that scattered severe storms will be possible.

The rest of south Alabama and parts of central Alabama have a Level 1 risk for severe weather on Monday, which means that isolated severe storms will be possible. Part of southeast Alabama will also have a Level 1 risk on Tuesday.

Here is the severe weather outlook for Tuesday (from 6 a.m. onward):

Storms are expected to still be affecting southeast Alabama on Tuesday morning.SPC

The weather service has cautioned that the risk level has the potential to be upgraded in future updates.

Parts of south Alabama will likely find themselves under a tornado watch at some point on Monday night or early Tuesday morning.

TWO ROUNDS OF STORMS

The weather service thinks those in south Alabama could be facing two rounds of storms. The first could come on Monday night as a warm front lifts northward from the Gulf and over parts of south Alabama.

The weather service said supercell storms could develop along and south of the front and could produce tornadoes — including some strong ones — and damaging winds.

Forecasters noted that this round of storms has some uncertainty along with it because of the lack of instability that could be present at the time.

The second round of storms could arrive in the form of a powerful squall line that would track from west to east across south Alabama.

The weather service noted that this round “appears more concerning” and stressed that the “ceiling for wind damage” would be high.

In fact, forecasters said “there is the potential for widespread damaging to destructive winds in addition to embedded tornadoes.”

Forecasters said 2 to 4 inches of rain will be possible for Alabama — and isolated areas in south Alabama could see up to 6 inches. NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center has added a Level 3 out of 4 risk for flash flooding for parts of southwest Alabama, and the weather service said a flood watch may be necessary later on.

Conditions will also be rough along the coast. The weather service said wave heights could reach 11 feet and lead to beach erosion as well as “life-threatening surf and rip currents.”

Coastal flooding will also be a concern, according to forecasters.

Storms are expected to exit Alabama during the day on Tuesday, and drier and calmer weather is expected until Friday, when the next storm system will approach the state.

Here’s more from the weather service:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE (COVERS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA):

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM:

Central Alabama severe weather outlook

Here’s a look at the potential for storms in central Alabama on Monday into Tuesday.NWS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE: