Anything tropical to worry about in the Gulf?

We’re 11 days into hurricane season, and forecasters are keeping an eye on the Gulf of Mexico.

Those along the Gulf Coast don’t have to worry about a hurricane, however.

The area of disturbed weather being watched in the Gulf, added to the National Hurricane Center’s tropical outlook on Tuesday, has a low chance of becoming even a tropical depression.

It is headed out of the Gulf and into the Atlantic — and away from the U.S.

The system could bring much-needed rainfall to parts of southern Florida, which hasn’t had much rain lately and is facing drought conditions.

It could add up to a lot of rain, however, and flood watches were in effect for parts of South Florida as of Tuesday:

As of Tuesday morning the hurricane center gave the disturbance in the Gulf only a 20 percent (low) chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next seven days.

The trough of low pressure was over the eastern Gulf on Tuesday and had spawned rain and strong storms across parts of South Florida.

The system is forecast to track to the northeast, and across the Florida peninsula, over the next few days and move into the western Atlantic.

Conditions for a tropical storm to form aren’t expected to be ideal when the system reaches the Atlantic, but it still could slowly develop as it heads to the northeast, according to the hurricane center.

There have been no named storms in the Atlantic so far in 2024, but forecasters are expecting it to be a very busy season. The Atlantic hurricane season runs until Nov. 30.

The 2024 outlook for the Atlantic hurricane season includes the possibility of 17 to 25 named storms.NOAA