2024 NBA Playoffs Mavericks vs. Clippers Game 3 odds, Doncic, Harden, Zubac player prop picks
Catena Media provides exclusive sports betting and online gambling content in collaboration with AL.com, including picks, analysis, tools and sportsbook and online casino offers to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.
The Clippers-Mavericks series shifts to American Airlines Center in Dallas for a critical Game 3 on Friday night. With the home team listed as a 4.5-point favorite, we’re diving into three player props that could prove profitable in the key postseason clash.
**If you’re in a state without legal sports betting, scroll to the bottom for the best DFS bonuses you can use on NBA Playoff action throughout the postseason!**
Doncic was involved in plenty of heavy lifting offensively over the first two games of the series, taking 26 shots apiece in that pair of contests. The usage should naturally remain sky high Friday as Dallas looks to snap a 1-1 logjam and take a critical 2-1 series lead.
Luka was also involved a good bit as a rebounder, bringing down a total of 19 boards in Games 1 and 2. The extra opportunity on that front isn’t surprising when considering the Clippers force plenty of misses and also struggled with shooting in their own right.
Doncic averaged 32.0 points and 10.3 rebounds against Los Angeles in three regular-season games this season, and he’s pretty much kept that going thus far in the postseason with his 32.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per contest over the first two games.
Doncic put up an even better 34.1 points per game at home during the regular campaign, and in what should be a closely contested affair in Game 3, he should have a very good chance to vault over this prop with another heavy minutes workload.
This seems like a particularly achievable figure for Harden, who naturally has a ceiling well north of 30 points when he’s hot and who averaged 25.0 points over the first two games of the series while shooting 45.2 percent, including 38.1 percent from three-point range.
Those numbers are particularly relevant considering how much Harden had struggled versus Dallas in the regular season, when he’d averaged just 13.0 points per contest on 34.6 percent shooting over three games. It’s clear The Beard is able to get the better of the matchup, but oddsmakers apparently are banking on a bit of regression Friday.
However, there’s a chance Kawhi Leonard is forced to miss Game 3 with his chronic knee inflammation, and if he were to be confirmed out closer to tip-off, this prop would naturally change. Even if Kawhi is available, Harden still took 14 shots with his teammate available in Game 2 and also visited the free-throw line nine times.
While Harden isn’t relied on to anywhere near the same degree as a scorer as he was during his Houston heyday, this likely wire-to-wire battle should give him ample opportunity to eclipse this prop.
The odds on this prop have actually continued to get a bit longer over the last 24 hours or so, certainly getting my attention. Zubac is an excellent rebounder overall, and he’s opened the series by pulling down an average of 13.5 boards per contest over the first two games.
The big man’s rebounding numbers have certainly benefited from the strong overall defense Los Angeles has played, with Dallas shooting just 38.8 percent and 42.1 percent in the first two games, respectively. The Mavs are now home for Game 3, but the Clippers are a sound defensive squad overall and are able to devote some resources to making Luka’s shots difficult with the rest of Dallas’ first unit not named Kyrie Irving unreliable from game to game.
Zubac has recorded at least 11 rebounds on 27 occasions since the start of the regular season, and he averaged 10.3 per contest versus Dallas in three regular-season games. The Mavs also allowed the third-most rebounds per home game (52.9) this season, furthering Zubac’s case.