Catena Media provides exclusive sports betting content to AL.com, including picks, analysis, tools and sportsbook offers to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.

Taylor Swift reportedly will attend Super Bowl 58 and command her fair share of camera time. So will the glittering neon of the first-time host city Las Vegas.

But the unquestioned star of the Feb. 11 Super show once again figures to be Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

We’ve seen this before, of course, with Mahomes garnering Super Bowl MVP honors in two of his previous three Big Game appearances. Those honors complement his 2018 and 2022 league MVP awards quite nicely.

There will be hundreds of Mahomes Super Bowl player props to choose from — and many have yet to be posted here as of this writing 12 days before kickoff — but here are some early thoughts on a few of the top traditional Mahomes props.

Wager on Super Bowl LVIII while taking advantage of our top online sportsbook welcome promo code offers which currently are worth more than a combined $4,500 in new-customer bonuses.

Mahomes under 262.5 passing yards (-110 or better)

A quick note is warranted here on Super Bowl props:

These wagers, of course, will see much more action than they do for any other game. And with the public and general bettors typically gravitating toward the overs, many of the unders will have solid value — particularly when the totals are driven up closer to kickoff.

As for this passing yardage prop, Mahomes definitely has had a down season — relative to his own lofty standards of course — averaging a career-low 261.4 passing yards per regular season game. That’s 22.6 yards fewer than his next-lowest average (284.0) from his first season as a starter in 2018.

It’s in large part correlated to Kansas City’s top-notch defense, which limited opponents to 17.3 points per game — the league’s second-lowest average.

Mahomes has finished with fewer than 262.5 yards in 11 of his 19 games this season, including all three of his AFC playoff outings.

The San Francisco 49ers, meanwhile, were about average (14th) this season, allowing an average of 232.4 QB passing yards per game. And in their two NFC playoff wins, the Niners allowed 194 to the Green Bay Packers’ Jordan Love and 273 to the Detroit Lions’ Jared Goff.

Add it all up, and we’ll go with the under here.

Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130 or better)

Mahomes also finished with his second-lowest season passing TD total, tossing 27 in 16 games during the regular season.

He’s since added four TD passes in three postseason contests and has finished with multiple scoring passes in 11 of 19 games on the full season.

The 49ers, meanwhile, have been stingy, permitting only 23 TD passes in 19 games.

However, given coach Andy Reid’s full trust in Mahomes and his red-zone excellence — second in the league with 24 TD passes inside the 20-yard line to only two interceptions during the regular season — we’ll go over on Mahomes’ Super scoring toss total.

Mahomes over 25.5 rushing yards (-110 or better)

Unlike most of his 2023 passing numbers, Mahomes did post his season high with 389 rushing yards this campaign, averaging 24.3 per game.

With the higher stakes in the postseason, though, Mahomes typically uses his legs more often, averaging 26.9 per outing over 17 games.

The Niners, meanwhile, allowed the 13th-most QB rushing yards during the regular season at 19.5 per contest.

Mahomes to win Super Bowl 58 MVP (+140 or better)

As aforementioned, Mahomes has been named the Big Game MVP in both of the Chiefs’ Big Game wins over the previous four seasons, including Super Bowl 54 against these 49ers.

In that 31-20 K.C. win in Miami, Mahomes completed 26-of-42 for 286 yards, two TDs and two interceptions while rushing nine times for 29 yards.

And considering that quarterbacks have garnered MVP honors in 32 of the previous 57 Super Bowls and Kansas City is a major sportsbook-consensus +108 on the current Big Game moneyline, +140 Mahomes MVP odds are a solid value.