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Tua Tagovailoa and Jaylen Waddle look to increase the Dolphins’ lead in the AFC East on Black Friday, while Quinnen Williams and the Jets aim to stay in the hunt for a Wild Card berth.

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NFL Week 12 player prop odds: Best bets for Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, and Quinnen Williams

Tua Tagovailoa under 21.5 completions (+100 or better)

Tua is having an MVP-caliber season, ranking sixth in completions, third in passing yards, and second in touchdown throws.

The Hawaiian has completed 21 or more passes in every game this season but hasn’t faced many defenses on the Jets’ level. Gang Green allows the fifth-lowest passing yards per week and has 10 interceptions on the year.

A quarterbacking change from Zach Wilson to Tim Boyle could pump a bit more life into New York’s offense, limiting Miami’s time of possession.

Jaylen Waddle under 56.5 receiving yards (-115 or better)

Tyreek Hill has been phenomenal in 2023, leading the league in receiving yards and touchdowns. Hill’s 1,222 yards are more than the Dolphins’ next three pass catchers combined.

Waddle’s productivity has been down due to Tyreek’s dominant campaign. His targets have fluctuated greatly, and Jaylen has gone below his receiving yards prop in two consecutive games.

Quinnen Williams over 3.5 tackles (+130 or better)

It’s wise to steer clear of Williams’ sack props, as he’s followed up a career year in 2022 with only two sacks through 10 games. However, the one-time All-Pro is finding his groove after notching 1.5 sacks in the Jets’ last two games.

Williams is still clogging run lanes and taking down ball carriers at a high clip. The 25-year-old has tallied more than 3.5 tackles in three of New York’s previous four games, including a season-high seven in Week 8.

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