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Fresh from their best offensive performance of the year, the 4-4 New Orleans Saints have a golden chance to build some momentum in the NFC South race as they welcome the 2-6 Chicago Bears this Sunday.

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NFL Week 9 Bears vs. Saints odds preview

New Orleans beat the Indianapolis Colts 38-27 in Week 8 on the back of arguably veteran QB Derek Carr’s best performance for the team.

Carr went 19-for-27 and threw for 310 yards and two scores in the win, which moved the Saints back to the .500 line. Runners Taysom Hill and Alvin Kamara combined for 122 rushing yards and three touchdowns and WR Rashid Shaheed hit 153 yards on just three receptions as Dennis Allen’s team racked up their highest points tally of the year so far. Virtually every offensive man made at least one big play as the signs continue to suggest that this offense is finally gelling.

That victory got the Saints back in the race for the NFC South. They now return to home soil, where they have not won since edging the Tennessee Titans by a single point on the opening weekend of the season. If they can reverse those fortunes and get the W here, they can take the division lead at the season’s halfway point of the season.

They won’t have a much better opportunity to do so than Sunday against the 2-6 Bears.

Chicago was swatted aside by the LA Chargers in Week 8 and, frankly, still looks like one of the worst teams in football this year despite stunning the Raiders two weeks ago.

Rookie quarterback Tyson Bagent looks set to continue with Justin Fields still not fit, and that doesn’t really look like good news given the lack of offensive rhythm on show last week.

The Bears have a lot more problems than just their QB selection, though, chiefly a defense that is one of the worst in the league against the pass and isn’t exactly solid against the run either.

It’s been an age since Chicago beat New Orleans, losing seven straight games since December 2008.

Kickoff at Caesars Superdome is noon CT. The Saints sit as comfortable -7.5 favourites.

Best Bears vs. Saints game props and odds: Over 41 total points (-110)

There’s little value in going with the -370 Saints’ moneyline, even if that seems as close to a dead cert as you’ll see anytime soon. Their spread of -7.5 feels a little risky, too, given that their defense has shipped 58 points across the last two weeks.

Instead, consider the over, which has hit in New Orleans’ last two games. The Saints’ offense looked to have clicked into a higher gear last week and now faces a Chicago defense that gives up 27 points per game. The over has hit six times on Bears games already this season. Put it this way: that’s not because they have a scintillating attack. The visitors are deeply overmatched here. With Carr hitting 300 yards, the Saints’ running game catching fire, and the likes of Shaheed making big plays in the passing game, the hosts have the potential to rack up close to this game’s mark of 41 points on their side alone.

Best Bears vs. Saints player props bets and odds: Carr over 241.5 passing yards (-115 or better)

The Bears pass defense is among the worst in the NFL, ranking 22nd in yards allowed and 28th in points conceded. They simply don’t pressure the passer enough and even when they do, they’re too porous.

That plays nicely into Carr’s hands just as he rides his best game of the year and the Saints’ passing attack on the whole begins to find more joy from deep. New Orleans is already going at a clip of 243 passing yards per game, and that number will climb here.

Best Bears vs. Saints player props bets and odds: Kamara over 61.5 rushing yards (-115 or better)

I’m mauling the Bears here, but it’s not just their passing defense that stinks.

Chicago has allowed an average of 133.6 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season, the fifth-worst mark in the NFL. The Saints scored on half of their drives last week, while the Bears’ defense allowed the Chargers to score on 60 percent of their drives, tied for worst in the NFL. The stats could keep coming but let’s just settle on the fact that as well as struggling to contain the Saints receivers, the visiting defense is going to have its hands full with Kamara and Hill.

Caesars’ odds of -104 for Kamara to hit over 61.5 yards looks appealing.

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