Tropical depression in Gulf of Mexico may not become Arlene

Tropical depression in Gulf of Mexico may not become Arlene

The tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico may not end up being nameworthy.

That’s according to the National Hurricane Center. As of Friday morning, Tropical Depression Two had not managed to strengthen, and forecasters said its window to do so may have already closed.

The system could still help to kick off rain and storms over the Florida Peninsula today and through the weekend, however.

Alabama is expected to stay clear of any direct effects from the storm.

The National Hurricane Center noted Tropical Depression Two’s “unimpressive appearance” on Friday morning.

As of 4 a.m. CDT Friday, the center of poorly organized Tropical Depression Two was located about 285 miles west of Fort Myers, Fla., and was moving southward at 5 mph.

The depression had maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. A storm has to have winds of at least 39 mph to become a tropical storm and get a name. The first name on the 2023 Atlantic storm name list is Arlene.

But this depression may not become Arlene after all. The storm has run into wind shear that is to blame of its ragged appearance. The hurricane center expects the unfavorable conditions in the Gulf to only get more pronounced as the system drifts southeastward, and the storm could weaken to a remnant low by Saturday.

It could still make for a wet weekend in central and southern Florida. The hurricane center said 1 to 2 inches of rain with locally higher amounts will be possible through Saturday. Forecasters noted, though, that the expected rain is not directly related to the depression.

There are no other areas in the Atlantic (including the Caribbean and the rest of the Gulf) that are being watched for possible tropical development as of Friday.

The Atlantic hurricane season started on Thursday (June 1) and will last until Nov. 30.

NOAA is predicting a near-average season as far as the number of storms goes, with 12-17 named storms, five to nine hurricanes and one to four major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger storms).

NOAA 2023 hurricane outlook

NOAA is predicting a near-average hurricane season in the Atlantic.