Brickyard 400 predictions, picks and best bets for Indianapolis Motor Speedway
The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the second consecutive year after a three-season layoff. The green flag drops on the Brickyard 400 at IMS at 2 p.m. ET. Kyle Larson is the defending champion of this event and is one of the top betting favorites to win the race.
This will be the 29th running of a Cup race at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway oval. From 2021 to 2023, the series raced at the site’s road course. We are getting closer to the playoffs, as just five races remain before the postseason begins.
We could see the winner emerge late, as only three of the last nine winners at the IMS oval led the most laps. The final lead change has come in the final eight laps in five of the past seven Brickyard 400 events. Five of the last seven races at the IMS oval were decided in overtime.
A great sidebar will be the final two drivers competing to win NASCAR’s In-Season Challenge bracket tournament. Ty Gibbs and Ty Dillon leaped over many other big-name drivers to arrive in the final, which you can wager on directly as a prop play.
3 best Brickyard 400 outright winner bets
- Kyle Larson (+500 on DraftKings Sportsbook): He broke out of a slump last week at Dover, finishing in fourth place.
- Denny Hamlin (+500): Aiming for his first win at the IMS oval, he has been running strong recently and might finally kiss the bricks.
- Chase Elliott (+900): Like Hamlin, Elliott is surging and is another good candidate to earn a first career win at Indianapolis Motor Speedway this week.
*Note: Odds are based on the best value our experts find as of publication; check lines prior to the race to ensure you get the best odds. Be sure to check on changing odds and outlooks following qualifying and practice.
Brickyard 400 alternate markets to consider betting
Top 3 Finishers
- Denny Hamlin: +160 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Ryan Blaney: +220
- Tyler Reddick: +320
- Bubba Wallace: +850
Top 5 Finishers
- Chase Briscoe: +145
- Christopher Bell: +160
- Brad Keselowski: +285
- Ty Gibbs: +320
Race Props
Driver prop: Brad Keselowski +285 over Chris Buescher, Joey Logano and Ty Gibbs
Top Ford: Brad Keselowski (+550)
Winning Manufacturer: Toyota (+160)
2025 Brickyard 400 Race Winner Odds
*Odds current as of July 27 on DraftKings Sportsbook*
- Denny Hamlin +500
- Kyle Larson +500
- Ryan Blaney +600
- Chase Elliott +900
- William Byron +900
- Tyler Reddick +1000
- Chase Briscoe +1100
- Christopher Bell +1200
- Chris Buescher +1400
- Joey Logano +2000
- Brad Keselowski +2200
- Carson Hocevar +2500
- Ty Gibbs +2500
- Kyle Busch +2800
- Bubba Wallace +3000
- Ross Chastain +3500
- Austin Cindric +3500
- Alex Bowman +3500
Brickyard 400 Favorites
Kyle Larson won the last race at the IMS oval, after leading only eight laps. His all-time Driver Rating of 98.6 at the site is third-best among active drivers, and he leads all drivers in Average Running Position (10.2). Hendrick Motorsports leads all teams in Indianapolis wins with 11.
Denny Hamlin may have his best chance to win at Indianapolis this week. He is coming off a series-leading fourth win of the season at Dover last week, and has finished in the top 4 in five of his last seven starts.
Hamlin leads all active Cup drivers with wins in “Crown Jewel” events such as this and is looking to become the fifth driver all-time to complete the Grand Slam of Crown Jewel races.
Chase Elliott finished in the top 11 in his last three Indianapolis starts and has been regaining his better form in recent weeks. He finished in the top 6 in four of his last five starts, and placed fifth at Pocono, which is a somewhat comparable large oval.
Brickyard 400 contenders
Ryan Blaney failed to finish in the top 10 in three of his last four starts, but he did place third in his last start at the IMS oval. No active Team Penske driver has a win at the Brickyard, but Blaney could push for the win he missed out on last year.
At the IMS oval, Tyler Reddick is second in Driver Rating (101.9) and Average Finish (5.0). He could potentially clinch a playoff berth with a win. Reddick finished in the top 6 in three of his last four starts and placed second at the Brickyard in 2024, leading for 40 laps.
Chase Briscoe won at Pocono this year and he started and finished second in each of his last two starts in 2025. This is a “home” race for the native of Mitchell, Indiana.
Christopher Bell has the third-best Average Finish at the Brickyard (8.0). He placed fourth in his last start at the site. Bell finished fifth at Sonoma in the race before last week’s Dover event. He is searching for more consistency, but can be a contender in any week, with three wins and three second place finishes so far this season.
Brickyard 400 sleepers and value bets
Brad Keselowski won at the IMS oval in 2018 and has won three of four Crown Jewel events. He is third among active drivers in most laps led at the Brickyard (1,837).
Keselowski finished in the top 4 in three of his last five Indianapolis starts. As you see throughout this article, DraftKings features some good value prop plays on Keselowski for this site.
This is a good track to roll with Bubba Wallace. In four starts at the IMS oval, where he has two top 5 finishes and three top 10 showings. This is an important week for him to maintain his playoff positioning after missing the postseason last year.
With an eye on winning the In-Season Challenge, plus a good run of recent finishes, Ty Gibbs is a prime play to finish in the top 5 and potentially challenge for the win.
He has placed between second and seventh in his last three starts. Gibbs is at -280 to beat Ty Dillon in the head-to-head driver prop matchup.
More Brickyard 400 betting picks
Top 10 Finishers: Carson Hocevar (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook), Alex Bowman (+135), Shane Van Gisbergen (+330), John Hunter Nemechek (+360), Riley Herbst (+1700).
Driver Matchup Prop: Brad Keselowski (-110) over Joey Logano
Top Ford: Brad Keselowski (+550).
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