Coca-Cola 600 predictions, picks and best bets for Charlotte Motor Speedway

Get ready for the longest race of the NASCAR Cup season this week. The green flag drops on the Coca-Cola 600 on Sunday at 6 p.m. ET. Viewers should note that this will be the first event of the year to be televised on Amazon Prime, as we always have to stay aware of platform changes when planning to watch Cup races throughout the year.

This will be the 127th running of a NASCAR Cup Series race on the oval at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Confirming that this is indeed the lengthiest race on the calendar, the Coca-Cola 600 was the longest race of the season based on time in six of the previous eight seasons.

The driver on the pole has won five of the last eight Coca-Cola 600 events, so be sure to adjust your wagering targets accordingly after qualifying. Also, be sure to monitor the practice speeds, as any markers from pre-race events can potentially give you an advantage in final race forecasting.

Wagers are also available on top 3, top 5, and top 10 showings, and driver props give you another fun option for betting at CMS. As with any NASCAR race, you should put down multiple wagers, as any driver can wreck at any time and torpedo your chances of cashing out.

Also consider jumping into live betting as you watch the race progress, as changing track conditions will affect performances.

The winner of the third stage has taken the checkered flag in five of the past eight Coca-Cola 600 events. The last eight Coca-Cola 600s have been won by eight different drivers. We highlight the top wagering targets for this week’s Cup race, with odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

*Note: Odds are based on the best value our experts find as of publication; check lines prior to the race to ensure you get the best odds.

Four best Coca-Cola 600 outright winner bets

  • Kyle Larson (+600 on DraftKings Sportsbook): The 600 will be his second race of the day, yet he can still dominate.
  • Ryan Blaney (+650): Coming off two strong finishes in his last two starts of 2025.
  • Christopher Bell (+650): The defending race winner is looking like a certain championship contender.
  • William Byron (+800): Look for him to stay in the top 5 later in the race and challenge for a top spot.

Coca-Cola 600 alternate markets to consider betting on

Top 3 Finishers

Top 5 Finishers

  • Josh Berry +235
  • Ross Chastain +285
  • Ty Gibbs +360

More Prop Bets

  • Driver Prop: Ty Gibbs (+330 over Joey Logano, Ross Chastain and Chris Beuscher.
  • Race Prop: Top Chevrolet, Kyle Larson (+230)
  • Race Prop: Winning Manufacturer, Toyota (+190)

2025 Coca-Cola 600 race winner odds

*Odds current as of May 23 on DraftKings Sportsbook*

  • Kyle Larson +600
  • Ryan Blaney +650
  • Christopher Bell +650
  • William Byron +800
  • Denny Hamlin +800
  • Tyler Reddick +1000
  • Chase Elliott +1400
  • Kyle Busch +1500
  • Alex Bowman +1600
  • Joey Logano +1600
  • Brad Keselowski +1800
  • Josh Berry +1800
  • Ross Chastain +2200
  • Ty Gibbs +2800
  • Chris Buescher +3000
  • Chase Briscoe +3500
  • Bubba Wallace +3500
  • Austin Cindric +3500

Coca-Cola 600 favorites

Kyle Larson wrecked at CMS in his most recent start at CMS in 2023, but he did win at the site in 2021. Larson will try to pull off “double duty” by racing in the Indianapolis 500 earlier in the day.

If he misses the IndyCar event for any reason, Larson becomes a stronger pick for the 600. He is coming off his third win of the season at Kansas, Larson led 24.5% of the laps this year, the most in the first 12 races of the season in 10 years.

Ryan Blaney ended a 59-race winless streak in the 600 in 2023. He has finished third in his last two starts this season and might be ready to push for his first win of the year this week at CMS. Blaney wrecked in the 600 last season, but he finished third twice at the site in 2020.

Christopher Bell should be a prime contender at this site. He is the defending race winner and has led for 158 laps in his last two CMS starts. Bell has two top 5 showings in his last three Charlotte races. He is aiming for his fourth win of the year after finishing second at Kansas in the most recent official Cup race, and Bell also won the All-Star race last week.

William Byron has the fourth-best all-time Driver Rating among active competitors at CMS. He has never won at the Charlotte oval, and with the recent trend of seemingly different race winners every year, he is one of the better candidates to earn his first 600 victory. Byron has finished in the top 4 in three of his last four CMS starts.

Denny Hamlin has the third-best Average Finish among active drivers at Charlotte. He failed to finish in his last two CMS starts and should be determined to steer clear of trouble this time. Hamlin has three poles at Charlotte and won from the pole in 2022. He also has registered three runner-up finishes at the site.

Coca-Cola 600 contenders

Tyler Reddick leads all active drivers in Average Finishing Position at Charlotte and is second all-time at the site. His Driver Rating of 98.2 ranks third among active drivers, and he is fourth in Average Running Position at CMS.

Kyle Busch is highly experienced at this site, with his previous 36 starts at CMS being the most among regularly active drivers. He also has a win from the pole in the 600. Busch leads all drivers in runner-up finishes with four. His Driver Rating of 104.9 is the best in the Cup series.

Alex Bowman is another possible first-time winner for the 600. He has three top 10 finishes in his last four Charlotte starts. Bowman is also gunning for his first win of the season, but is consistently in the top 10 mix and is coming off a fifth-place showing at Kansas. I would at least wager on him for a Top 5 finish at +210.

Coca-Cola 600 sleepers and values

Ty Gibbs (+2800) leads all active drivers in Average Running Position at CMS. His Driver Rating of 94.8 ranks seventh. He won the Charlotte pole in 2024. Gibbs will make his 100th career Cup start this week. Five drivers won in the 100th start of their careers.

Bubba Wallace (+3500) finished fourth and 11th in his last two starts at Charlotte. He qualified in the top 10 in two of his last three CMS starts. If he qualifies in the top 10, rely on him to finish near where he starts, as he did in each of the past two years at Charlotte. Wallace is at +425 to finish in the top 5.

Jimmie Johnson (+40000) is well past his best days, but why not take a fun longshot on a guy who used to absolutely rule at CMS? The payout is so inviting for the eight-time Charlotte winner. You should at least go with him at +5000 to finish in the Top 5.