See the latest FedEx Cup futures odds and our best bets to make following the first major
With three victories in only six events, Rory McIlroy has been on a tear this season. One of which was arguably the most important of his life – a dramatic win at the Masters that clinched the career grand slam.
McIlroy owns a healthy lead in the FedEx Cup standings, despite playing the fewest events of any player in the top 60. Rory may be playing the best golf on the PGA Tour, but oddsmakers give him the second-best odds to win the FedEx Cup.
The first major of 2025 is in the books, and players will tee it up at the PGA Championship in less than a month. The standings could change drastically after the second major, making now a good time to review the latest FedEx Cup futures odds.
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Updated FedEx Cup winner odds
Odds via Caesars Sportsbook as of April 25:
- Scottie Scheffler: +280
- Rory McIlroy: +300
- Ludvig Aberg: +850
- Collin Morikawa: +1400
- Justin Thomas: +1400
- Hideki Matsuyama: +1800
- Xander Schauffele: +2000
- Viktor Hovland: +2800
- Patrick Cantlay: +3300
- Russell Henley: +3500
At the time of writing, most betting sites aren’t offering odds for the FedEx Cup. Caesars is the only sportsbook taking action on the PGA Tour’s postseason championship.
McIlroy is the top golfer in the FedEx Cup standings, with Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Russell Henley and Sepp Straka rounding out the top five. Despite sitting in third, Scheffler still holds the best FedEx Cup winner odds.
Scottie has yet to win an event this year, but you can never count out the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking.
Since the starting strokes format was introduced in 2019, the TOUR Championship (event used to determine the winner of the FedEx Cup) has been dominated by players near the top of the odds board. According to GolfOdds.com, no player in the last six years has won the TOUR Championship with pre-tournament odds longer than +800.
The most recent long shots to take the crown were Tiger Woods in 2018 (+1200) and Xander Schauffele in 2017 (+8000). Both victories came before players were given stroke advantages at the TOUR Championship.
FedEx Cup winner best bets and predictions
Rory McIlroy
Best odds: +300 at Caesars Sportsbook
How McIlroy responds to his victory at Augusta National will be one of the most interesting storylines this season. For years, he heard constant chatter about when he’d finally win the Masters, and he could never get it done.
With the career grand slam finally out of the way, McIlroy can play with less stress than ever for the remainder of the year.
His current form is already spectacular. He has three victories, four finishes in the top five and has yet to finish outside the top 17. When you consider McIlroy’s history at the TOUR Championship, his +300 odds become even more attractive.
Rory has won the TOUR Championship three times since 2016, with the most recent victory coming in 2022 when he started six strokes behind Scheffler. The FedEx Cup Playoffs end at East Lake Golf Course every year, and McIlroy is clearly comfortable at the track.
If McIlroy maintains his position atop the FedEx Cup standings, he’ll open the TOUR Championship at -10. Barring an awful performance, an advantage of that magnitude should minimally put Rory in the running for first when the final round tees off.
Justin Thomas
Best odds: +1400 at Caesars Sportsbook
At the end of 2024, Thomas was No. 19 in the Official World Golf Ranking. A resurgent start to 2025 has moved Thomas up to No. 6, trailing only Scheffler, McIlroy, Schauffele, Collin Morikawa and Ludvig Aberg.
Thomas’ most recent Tour win came at the 2022 PGA Championship, and he nearly got the monkey off his back at the American Express and Valspar Championship, finishing second in both events.
The winless streak finally came to an end last weekend when Thomas outlasted Andrew Novak in a playoff at the RBC Heritage. In 10 events this season, J.T. has five top 10 finishes and no missed cuts.
A runner-up finish at the 2017 TOUR Championship earned Thomas enough points to take home the FedEx Cup. This was before 2019, when the rules changed and the TOUR Championship winner was also declared the winner of the FedEx Cup.
J.T. has shown he can succeed at East Lake, and ranking 10th in SG: Tee-to-Green will provide a major boost. East Lake’s tight fairways create sharp angles throughout the course, putting a premium on accurate iron play.
Sepp Straka
Best odds: +4000 at Caesars Sportsbook
Straka should be your go-to player if you’re looking to back an underdog with long odds. The PGA Tour veteran is fifth in the FedEx Cup standings, but holds the 11th-best odds to win the TOUR Championship. Wagering just $10 on Straka comes with a $400 payout.
Straka grabbed an early-season win at the American Express and has eight finishes of T15 or better. He missed the cut at the Masters, but bounced back nicely with a T13 finish at the RBC Heritage.
The Austrian ranks third in driving efficiency and first in SG: Approach the Green. If Straka’s putting improves, his +4000 odds to win the TOUR Championship could be quite valuable when the FedEx Cup Playoffs start in August.
How does the FedEx Cup work?
The FedEx Cup tracks each PGA Tour member’s points throughout the season, and points are earned based on placement in various events. More points are awarded when a golfer wins an event or finishes near the top of a leaderboard.
The amount of points available in a given event depends on the tournament, as the majors, THE PLAYERS Championship and signature events have the most points up for grabs.
In August, the top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will compete in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The playoffs include three events: the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the BMW Championship, and the FedEx Cup winner is determined in the final event, the TOUR Championship.
After the first event of the playoffs, the field is trimmed to 50 for the BMW Championship. Then, the top 30 golfers qualify for the TOUR Championship. The winner of the FedEx Cup and TOUR Championship earns a hefty $25 million payout.