Severe storms and some snow in Alabama? It’s possible but not a sure thing
Alabama’s weather will have a little bit of everything over the next few days: Rain, storms, wind and maybe even a snowflake or two?
Temperatures are expected to be down, then up, then way down as the work week begins, according to forecasts from the National Weather Service.
The chance for rain will begin for parts of Alabama late tonight into Sunday morning, but there is a low chance for some wintry precipitation as well in north Alabama.
The weather service in Huntsville will be watching temperatures closely overnight, because there is a very small possibility that it could be cold enough to produce some freezing rain over a few isolated cold pockets in northeast Alabama from late tonight into Sunday morning.
Forecasters as of Saturday morning believed the better chance for any wintry precipitation will be farther north over Tennessee.
Most of the region will just get a cold rain through the morning.
During the day on Sunday a southerly wind is expected to bring in more moisture from the Gulf as a strong cold front approaches from the west. The weather service said temperatures will be slow to rise on Sunday thanks to the clouds and rain. Some may not see their high temperatures on Sunday until after sunset.
Here are Sunday’s forecast highs:
ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY
However, it could warm up enough to produce a few severe storms in parts of western Alabama.
The most likely time for storms will be Sunday evening into the nighttime hours.
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has expanded slightly a Level 1 out of 5 severe weather risk area in western Alabama for Sunday.
In addition, a small area in west Alabama very close to the state line has been upgraded to a Level 2 severe weather risk.
A Level 2 risk means that scattered severe storms will be possible; a Level 1 risk means isolated severe storms will be possible.
Forecasters said an isolated tornado will be possible in the risk areas, as well as damaging winds and heavy rain.
It is also expected to be very windy on Sunday, even away from storms, and wind advisories may end up being issued for parts of the state at some point.
The weather service will be watching trends but as of Saturday morning believed the best chances for storms would stay in Mississippi, where there will be a Level 3 risk on Sunday.
The strong cold front responsible for the threat of storms will bring rain across the state through Sunday, with the heaviest rain expected Sunday afternoon and evening.
Once the front passes temperatures are expected to plummet, according to the weather service.
The weather service in Huntsville included the possibility that flash freezing of any leftover water on roadways could be possible in parts of north Alabama, especially northwest Alabama, which will get the blast of arctic air first.
High temperatures on Monday will be frigid for parts of west and north Alabama:
Forecasters also said some snow flurries or snow showers will be possible during the day on Monday, mainly in north Alabama.
The weather service left open the possibility that a few higher-terrain areas could “perhaps receive some minor accumulations.”
Some snow flurries or showers may also be possible near Lake Wheeler in northern Morgan and Marshall counties.
Flurries could last into Monday night.
Very cold — even for January — temperatures are expected to settle in across Alabama next week, with the coldest days possibly being Tuesday through Thursday.
High temperatures are expected to stay lodged in the 30s for the northern half of the state during that time, with south Alabama only getting into the 40s.
Low temperatures could fall into the teens in north and north-central Alabama, and the 20s will be possible far into south Alabama.
WHAT ABOUT SNOW LATE NEXT WEEK?
The next chance for precipitation will come on Thursday or Friday, and the weather service mentioned the potential for some snow for areas in the South.
Unfortunately, forecast models are still not painting a clear picture of the potential for snow with that system. It’s still possible, but not much is certain beyond that.
The thinking is that an area of low pressure will develop later this week and move across the Gulf Coast, which is usually a favorable setup for snow in Alabama when cold temperatures are in place.
But it’s not yet clear what path that low will take — if it’s too far south Alabama could miss out on the better snow chances.
Forecasters hope to soon have a clearer idea about the forecast for later this week.